Aston Villa boss Dean Smith

Birmingham vs Aston Villa: Visitors value for derby delight

Kick-off: 1200, 10/03/2019

Stadium: St Andrew’s

TV: Sky Sports

Trueform shows exactly how well football teams have been playing, helping you to spot potential value bets. See who has performed above expectations and which teams are being underestimated by oddsmakers.

What Trueform says for Birmingham vs Aston Villa

Aston Villa remain something of an enigma but are still rated a value bet to beat Birmingham in Sunday’s big Midlands derby.

Dean Smith’s side were outstanding when thrashing Derby 4-0 in the Championship last weekend and will take some stopping if in the same mood at St Andrew’s.

We reckon 8/5 for an away win is worth support for our opening Birmingham vs Aston Villa prediction.

A Look At Birmingham City’s Betting Odds

Birmingham boosted their hopes of securing a place in the play-offs by winning three of their five games in February, but they began this month with a disappointing 2-0 defeat at Hull.

The Blues rarely threatened at KCOM Stadium and could easily have suffered a more emphatic loss.

Garry Monk admitted: “I think it was a slightly jaded performance from us.

“We are not the type of team who can be below our levels physically or mentally and get away with results.”

City will be more fired up for this clash but we still like 4/1 for an away win and both teams to score from the Birmingham vs Aston Villa odds.

A Look At Aston Villa’s Betting Odds

Aston Villa closed to within two points of their neighbours after demolishing Derby on home turf, inspired by captain Jack Grealish on his return from a two-month injury absence.

Villa had recorded only two wins in 13 Championship games during his absence but Grealish capped off a superb first-half performance by hitting the target.

“We finished comfortable winners and Jack’s goal topped the display,” declared Smith. “He leads by example.”

Conor Hourihane bagged a brace in one of his best games for Villa, while Tammy Abraham notched his 21st goal of the season.

Villa beat Birmingham 4-2 in their first encounter of the campaign back in late November, with Grealish and Abraham again netting that day.

It may be tougher away, but let’s finish off our Birmingham vs Aston Villa betting tips by taking 19/2 for them to prevail 2-1 this time.

Additional stats

Last result:


ASTON VILLA 4-0 Derby – Conor Hourihane (2), Tammy Abraham, Jack Grealish

Head-to-head: Aston Villa 4-2 Birmingham, Aston Villa 2-0 Birmingham, Birmingham 0-0 Aston Villa, Aston Villa 1-0 Birmingham, Birmingham 1-1 Aston Villa

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