Leeds look great value to beat Cardiff by a single goal

Leeds’ recent superb run was halted against Birmingham on Wednesday evening when they succumbed to a 1-0 defeat at St. Andrew’s but they should be able to capitalise on Cardiff’s poor away form to pick up all three points on Sunday.

Simon Grayson’s men have shown their fighting spirit with late goals on several occasions already this term, including snatching a point at Brighton and securing a last-gasp win at Peterborough.

The Elland Road outfit are 6/5 to win the match with bwin, the draw is 12/5 and Cardiff are a 2/1 chance.

So far this season Leeds have fired in 24 goals, a total only surpassed by leaders Southampton and Peterborough. Bwin go 18/15 that over 2.5 goals will be scored and a tempting 7/4 over 3.5 goals go in.

Visitors Cardiff have won their last two Championship matches to move up to ninth, but their away form is a real concern.

The Bluebirds have not won on the road since a last-minute winner on the opening weekend against West Ham. Since then, the Welsh side have drawn three (all 1-1) and lost two, with their latest away defeat being a 4-3 loss at Peterborough.

Given this record, Cardiff are likely to start the game in edgy fashion and the home side are likely to accelerate out the blocks – a bet on over 1.5 goals to be scored in the first half could pay dividends at 7/5.

One interesting stat is that Leeds’ last three home wins have come by one goal, while Cardiff’s last two away defeats are by the same margin.

That could justify a bet on Leeds to win by one goal, so back the draw in the handicap market where the hosts get a 1-0 head start at 3/1.

New bwin customers can use their free £25 bet when signing up on this selection and will win £100 should Leeds indeed enjoy a one-goal winning margin..

For the braver punter, a bet on a correct score will offer more attractive odds, Leeds to win 2-1 can be backed at 31/4, while 3-2 to Leeds is a 22/1 chance.

The Whites are also available at 33/4 to win 1-0, but considering the amount of goals their games generally produce, a second scoreline of this kind within a week seems unlikely.

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