Italy vs Netherlands prediction, Nations League, football

Italy vs Netherlands: Azzurri to shade Holland again

Kick-off: 1945, 14/10/2020

Stadium: Stadio Atleti Azzurri d’Italia

TV: Sky Sports

Italy are leading the way in a very tight Nations League Group A1 and get the nod to edge out second-placed Netherlands in Bergamo.

The Azzurri have faced Holland three times in as many years, securing two narrow victories and a draw, so the omens look good for another positive result.

As they continue to recover from failing to reach the 2018 World Cup in Russia, Roberto Mancini’s men seem more fired up than most teams for this competition.

We’re happy to take 21/20 for a home win as our opening Italy vs Netherlands prediction.

A Look At Italy’s Betting Odds

Inter Milan midfielder Nico Barella scored the only goal of the game when Italy shaded the Dutch in Amsterdam last month.

Former Everton striker Moise Kean had chances to increase the advantage in a match where the visitors enjoyed 57 per cent of possession and led 18-11 in shots on goal.

Only drawing their other two fixtures in this pool is slightly disappointing, but the Azzurri were again the dominant force in Sunday’s 0-0 stalemate away to Poland.

Federico Chiesa and Emerson failed to convert chances, but plenty of smart build-up play still offered some encouraging signs.

Mancini was satisfied with the effort shown on a heavy pitch, as Italy extended their unbeaten run to 17 matches.

“I think the team played well,” said the head coach. “The result is not the one we wanted, but I’m happy with the performance of the team.”

Looking at the Italy vs Netherlands odds, we like 27/10 for the hosts to prevail by a one-goal margin.

A Look At Netherlands’ Betting Odds

Frank de Boer has had to endure a frustrating start to his reign as Holland manager after stepping in to replace Ronald Koeman.

He kicked off with a 1-0 friendly loss to Mexico on home turf and then saw Bosnia and Herzegovina hold out for a goalless draw in Zenica over the weekend.

Long periods of that contest lacked sparkle, although the Dutch did finish strongly, with Frenkie de Jong, namesake Luuk and Ryan Babel all denied late on.

Liverpool defender Virgil van Dijk admitted on the UEFA website: “We expected to win here, but the tempo was too low in possession, especially in the first half.

“After the break, our organisation was better and we put them under more pressure, but we generally created too few clear chances.”

The Netherlands are still looking for their first away win in two renewals of this tournament and will find it difficult to put that right in Bergamo.

In what is expected to be a tight tussle, we’re adding 4/1 for Draw HT/Italy FT to our Italy vs Netherlands betting tips.

Additional stats

Last result:

Poland 0-0 ITALY

Bosnia and Herzegovina 0-0 NETHERLANDS

Head-to-head: Holland 0-1 Italy, Italy 1-1 Holland, Holland 1-2 Italy, Italy 2-0 Holland, Holland 1-1 Italy, Italy 0-0 Holland

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