Kick-off: 1945, 07/09/2020
Stadium: Johan Cruyff ArenA
TV: Sky Sports
Netherlands are firm favourites to beat Italy in Monday night’s Nations League contest after opening their campaign with a win over Poland.
However, the Azzurri, who shared the spoils with Bosnia and Herzegovina on Friday, have only lost once to the Dutch in their last 14 meetings.
We reckon 21/10 for a draw is the way to go with our opening Netherlands vs Italy prediction.
A Look At Netherlands’ Betting Odds
Holland reached the final of the first staging of this tournament and got off to a solid start this time when edging out Poland 1-0 at this venue.
Tottenham winger Steven Bergwijn was set free by Frenkie de Jong and Hans Hateboer and clinched a deserved win with a neat 62nd-minute finish.
Outstanding Barcelona midfielder De Jong said: “We controlled the game pretty well, but we should get more out of situations when we can put the ball behind their defence or between the lines.”
Joel Veltman and Nathan Ake did well at the back alongside the imperious Virgil van Dijk, while Memphis Depay was a threat up front.
The Dutch did not quite hit top gear, though, and this is rated a stiffer test, so we’re still eyeing a stalemate in Amsterdam.
Two of the last four encounters between these teams have ended 1-1 and 11/2 for that scoreline to come up again stands out from the Netherlands vs Italy odds.
A Look At Italy’s Betting Odds
Italy beat Bosnia and Herzegovina twice in Euro 2020 qualifying but had to come from behind when they were held 1-1 by the same opponents in Florence.
Roma striker Edin Dzeko gave the visitors a second-half lead before Inter Milan midfielder Stefano Sensi struck an equaliser for the Azzurri 10 minutes later.
Armin Hodzic and Lorenzo Insigne had earlier hit the woodwork soon after the interval for Italy, who saw an 11-game winning streak come to an end.
Captain Leonardo Bonucci commented: “It was not easy to find space because our opponents sat back and waited to hit us on the counter-attack.
“We created chances but were not patient enough with ball. We needed to circulate it better and go down the wings.”
That match only came to life in the second half and the stats certainly suggest that will be the case here, too.
Italy have scored 19 of their last 27 goals after the break, while 29 of Holland’s last 39 strikes have come in the 55th minute or later.
That makes 21/20 for more goals to be scored in the second half here worth adding to our Netherlands vs Italy betting tips.
NETHERLANDS 1-0 Poland – Steven Bergwijn
ITALY 1-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina – Stefano Sensi
Head-to-head: Italy 1-1 Netherlands, Netherlands 1-2 Italy, Italy 2-0 Netherlands, Netherlands 1-1 Italy
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