Kick-off: 1730, 09/03/2019
Stadium: Etihad Stadium
TV: BT Sport
Trueform shows exactly how well football teams have been playing, helping you to spot potential value bets. See who has performed above expectations and which teams are being underestimated by oddsmakers.
What Trueform says for Man City vs Watford
Manchester City are now in control of their own Premier League title destiny and can turn on the style with a convincing win over Watford.
The Hornets have lost all seven meetings with the Blues since being promoted to the top flight, with 22 goals conceded in those matches and just three scored.
We reckon 9/10 for a home win to nil is a solid Man City vs Watford prediction.
A Look At Manchester City’s Betting Odds
City have kept a clean sheet in their last four Premier League fixtures following a 1-0 triumph at Bournemouth and lead Liverpool by a point, with nine games left.
Although only a scruffy Riyad Mahrez strike separated the sides at Vitality Stadium, Pep Guardiola’s men totally dominated that contest.
The Cherries were restricted to 18 per cent of the possession, earned no corners and had zero attempts on goal, compared to City’s 23.
Guardiola beamed: “We make an incredible performance, one of the best performance we ever played.
“Every time we lose the ball, we had three or four guys going there to pick up and recover the ball and play.”
That victory was marred by Kevin De Bruyne’s hamstring injury and a recurrence of a groin problem for England defender John Stones.
However, it seems as though anyone coming into the starting line-up fits seamlessly into Guardiola’s system.
Looking at the Man City vs Watford odds, we like 13/2 for a 3-0 home win.
Last Man City line-up: Ederson, Walker, Stones, Otamendi, Gundogan, De Bruyne, B Silva, D Silva, Zinchenko, Sterling, Aguero.
City are without De Bruyne, Stones, Fernandinho (groin) and Aymeric Laporte (hamstring), but Fabian Delph is back in contention.
A Look At Watford’s Betting Odds
Watford made it three wins in their last four top-flight fixtures when beating Leicester 2-1 at Vicarage Road.
Jamie Vardy cancelled out Troy Deeney’s early header but Andre Gray pounced on some sloppy play by the Foxes to snatch victory in stoppage time.
Gray was full of praise for manager Javi Gracia after that win, hailing the Spaniard for establishing a settled side.
“He has kept the core of the team throughout most of the season,” said Gray. “We know what we are doing. We are very well structured now.”
The Hornets are eighth in the table and through to the FA Cup quarter-finals, having lost just two of 12 games in all competitions since the turn of the year.
However, the one major blemish is a 5-0 thrashing at Liverpool at the end of last month and their overall record against the top six is poor.
We just fear the Hornets may be tempted to save themselves for more winnable matches in the coming weeks, so Evens for a home win by more than two clear goals is added to our Man City vs Watford betting tips.
Last Watford line-up: Foster, Janmaat, Mariappa, Cathcart, Holebas, Doucoure, Hughes, Capoue, Pereyra, Deulofeu, Deeney.
Watford can welcome back Kiko Femenia and Sebastian Prodl. Femenia missed the win over Leicester through illness and Prodl has recovered from knee and hamstring injuries.
Bournemouth 0-1 MAN CITY – Riyad Mahrez
WATFORD 2-1 Leicester – Troy Deeney, Andre Gray
Head-to-head: Watford 1-2 Man City, Man City 3-1 Watford, Watford 0-6 Man City, Watford 0-5 Man City, Man City 2-0 Watford
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