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England vs Poland: Three Lions to prove just too strong

Kick-off: 1945, 31/03/2021

Stadium: Wembley


England are fancied to continue their clinical start to World Cup qualifying when hosting Group I second seeds Poland at Wembley.

The Eagles warrant respect, but invariably fail to perform at their best when coming up against elite-level nations and will be without star man Robert Lewandowski here.

We’re happy to take 13/10 for a home win to nil as our first England vs Poland prediction.

A Look At England’s Betting Odds

England have so far eased to a 5-0 triumph over San Marino and a smooth 2-0 success in Albania, with Harry Kane and Mason Mount netting in Tirana.

Sunday’s result gave us a trio of winning bets, including a 5/1 correct score pay-out.

The Three Lions struggled on the stodgy Air Albania Stadium pitch at times but never looked in danger of slipping up, with Kane and Phil Foden also hitting the woodwork.

“I think we controlled the game very well,” Gareth Southgate said. “It’s a good win and we move on in healthy condition to Wednesday.

“I think we were over 70 per cent possession. The longer it went on, we created more chances and could have finished more comfortable.”

Three quick games put pressure on Southgate to protect players already stretched by busy club campaigns, but he insisted the main focus is still to achieve positive results.

Looking at the England vs Poland odds, we reckon 6/1 for another 2-0 victory is fair value.

A Look At Poland’s Betting Odds

Poland qualified for the last World Cup and will feature at the delayed Euro 2020 finals, so a bold showing in this pool is expected.

They kicked off with an entertaining 3-3 draw in Hungary, coming from 2-0 and 3-1 down to earn a point at Puskas Arena.

Robert Lewandowski grabbed a late leveller that night and bagged a brace in Sunday’s 3-0 drubbing of Andorra.

The Bayern Munich superstar now has 66 goals in 118 international appearances but must sit out this trip due to a knee injury.

A statement said: “Treatment of this type of injury usually lasts from five to 10 days. Therefore, Robert will return to his club, where he will undergo further rehabilitation.”

Marseille striker Arkadiusz Milik and Hertha Berlin forward Krzysztof Piatek are proven performers in their own right, while PAOK’s Karol Swiderski scored on debut against Andorra.

However, Poland have so often failed to deliver when pitched against higher-ranked teams and Lewandowski’s absence won’t help them buck that trend.

That view was backed up by last year’s Nations League exploits, when they did the double over Bosnia and Herzegovina but only picked up one point from four games versus Holland and Italy.

Poland went down 1-0 away to the Dutch and 2-0 when visiting the Azzurri, so the feeling is they will again be starved of possession and field position here.

New coach Paulo Sousa, who has managed QPR, Swansea and Leicester, was a holding midfielder during his playing days and may look to keep things tight at Wembley.

Let’s finish off our England vs Poland betting tips by taking 23/20 for a home win and under 3.5 goals in the game.

Additional stats

Last result:

Albania 0-2 ENGLAND – Harry Kane, Mason Mount

POLAND 3-0 Andorra – Robert Lewandowski (2), Karol Swiderski

Head-to-head: England 2-0 Poland, Poland 1-1 England, England 2-1 Poland, Poland 1-2 England, Poland 0-0 England

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