The battle to finish the season as European number one hots up this week with Race to Dubai leader Tommy Fleetwood and new rival Justin Rose among the field for the Turkish Airlines Open, Phil Casey writes.
Fleetwood extended his lead over Sergio Garcia at the top of the money list with a tie for 20th in the WGC-HSBC Champions, but Rose’s shock victory in Shanghai lifted the Olympic champion from 10th to third in the standings.
Rose remains more than a million points behind his fellow Englishman, but 985,000 points are on offer for the winner in Antalya, where Rose won the precursor to this event – an eight-man matchplay competition – in 2012.
The world number six is therefore a worthy favourite ahead of Henrik Stenson, but that is reflected in odds of 7/1 so the preference is to look elsewhere for better value.
And where better to start with for our Turkish Airlines Open betting predictions than with the Race to Dubai leader and 20/1 chance Fleetwood, who was 22nd here last year and comes into the week on the back of a tie for 20th in China.
Fleetwood is ranked first in greens in regulation and seventh in driving accuracy and although his putting stats are not up to the same high standard, the world number 19 is backed to make enough birdies to contend for a third win of the year.
Our next selection’s putting stats make for betting reading and David Horsey also has the benefit of finishing tied second at the Regnum Carya Resort 12 months ago.
Horsey began the final round seven shots behind eventual winner Thorbjorn Olesen, but raced to the turn in 29 and briefly cut the gap to a single shot before Olesen rallied with three crucial birdies on the back nine.
An inspired Julian Suri denied Horsey a fifth European Tour title in Denmark but the Englishman comes into the week on the back of a two-week break after a tie for the sixth in the Italian Open. He can be backed at 40/1 in the Turkish Airlines Open betting.
Fatigue might be more of an issue with our third selection, with Paul Dunne having played four of the last five weeks, starting with his maiden victory in the British Masters.
However, Dunne’s putting prowess means he cannot be ignored at odds of 40/1 to produce a similar performance to his brilliant effort at Close House, when a closing 61 saw him hold off the challenge of Rory McIlroy.
And finally for our Turkish Airlines Open betting tips, Adrian Otaegui could reward a bet at 90/1 in the outright market or 8/1 for a top-10 finish, the Spaniard carding a 63 in the second round on his way to a tie for 13th here last year.
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Best bets for the Turkish Airlines Open