Chelsea are lengthy 12/15 favourites to record a second win in their last five away games at Villa Park.
However it’s never been exactly Jose Mourinho’s favorite stop on the network of top-flight stadia and Villa are far too long to be ignored at 7/1 for victory given how close they’ve pushed the Blues in the sides’ last two meetings.
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Read on for the reasoning:
Jose Mourinho has yet to record a win at Villa Park four previous attempts.
It’s hardly surprising the Special One said:
“Tomorrow we have a very difficult game. Three points would be fabulous. One point is not a bad result at Villa Park…”
After all his Chelsea side notched just once across four games there in his previous stint as boss between 2004/05 and 2007/08.
Paul Lambert’s men had contentious refereeing decisions to bemoan in losing 2-1 at Stamford Bridge.
Villa proved they have what it takes to overcome the Blues when narrowly succumbing in the sides’ autumn meeting.
On that occasion many felt Branislav Ivanovic should have been red-carded for an elbow on Christian Benteke before the former’s headed winner, while the visitors were denied a cast-iron penalty from a John Terry handball at the death.
Chelsea have failed to win four of their seven league games preceding European matches this term.
Losses to Everton, Newcastle and Stoke and a draw at Tottenham suggest that the Blues can get carried away with thinking about midweek glamour fixtures.
Encouragingly for our wager their tie with Galatasaray remains finely poised at 1-1.
Aston Villa have already beaten Arsenal and Manchester City and were unlucky not to do the same to Liverpool.
The Brummies have landed some giant odds against the big dogs this term and the fact that they’ll have to play on the break, with Chelsea set to dominate, will only increase their chances.
The Villans have landed the odds in two of their last three home games.
A home-form monkey that had reached silverback proportions has been shaken from Aston Villa backs in timely fashion with Lambert’s side striking four in both of the aforementioned triumphs.