Kick-off: 1945, 06/10/2021
Stadium: San Siro
TV: Sky Sports
Italy may have lifted the trophy at Euro 2020 but there was nothing between them and Spain in the semi-finals at Wembley in July.
That contest went all the way to penalties after a 1-1 draw and another tight tussle is on the cards, even though the Azzurri are now at home in Milan.
We’re snapping up 21/10 for a stalemate in normal time again for our first Italy vs Spain prediction.
A Look At Italy’s Betting Odds
Italy played some great football early on at Euro 2020 but then reverted to type with some dogged displays during the knockout stages.
They needed extra-time to see off Austria and spot-kicks to shade Spain and England, with goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma named player of the tournament.
Last month’s World Cup qualifiers brought stalemates with Bulgaria and Switzerland before a 5-0 romp versus Lithuania.
Defensive warriors Giorgio Chiellini and Leonardo Bonucci are still going strong, while the Azzurri are very solid in midfield.
However, we’re just a bit worried about a lack of attacking flair with Ciro Immobile and Andrea Belotti out injured.
Italy had just 30 per cent of possession and earned only one corner when facing Spain in London this summer.
On that evidence, 4/6 for the Azzurri to have under 4.5 corners here is a bet for the big hitters from the Italy vs Spain odds.
A Look At Spain’s Betting Odds
Spain were draw specialists at Euro 2020, often dominating matches but being guilty of missing great scoring chances.
La Roja shared the spoils with Sweden and Poland during the group stage and went to extra-time or beyond versus Croatia, Switzerland and Italy.
Three of those stalemates finished 1-1 at the end of regulation play, so 21/4 for that scoreline to come up again is worth adding to our Italy vs Spain betting tips.
Spain were beaten 2-1 by Sweden in a Stockholm World Cup qualifier last month but rallied to then brush aside Georgia and Kosovo.
Alvaro Morata is absent after being incredibly wasteful over the summer and ultimately having his penalty saved in the decider.
However, Manchester City forward Ferran Torres has a great scoring record for La Roja of 10 goals in 20 appearances.
At the back, Spain have David De Gea, Cesar Azpilicueta and Aymeric Laporte in fine form for their Premier League clubs.
La Roja are 3/1 in the outright betting for Nations League glory, with the Azzurri quoted at 29/10. The other semi is Belgium vs France.
ITALY 5-0 Lithuania – Kean (2), Utkus (og), Raspadori, Di Lorenzo
Kosovo 0-2 SPAIN – Fornals, Torres
Head-to-head: Italy 1-1 Spain, Spain 3-0 Italy, Italy 1-1 Spain, Italy 2-0 Spain
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