In what is undoubtedly the juiciest of all the Copa America quarter finals, Argentina take on Colombia in the Chilean seaside town of Vina del Mar.
The odds, unsurprisingly, are stacked in favour of the beaten World Cup finalists, with Lionel Messi and co attributed a price of 17/20 to prevail next to Los Cafeteros’ beefy 4/1.
For those who can’t separate the sides, there’s 23/10 to be had about the draw, but a more reliable offering takes the form of under 1.5 goals at 6/4.
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The obscene amount of attacking riches that’ll be on display here make such an eventuality difficult to envisage, but recent results say it’s nailed on.
La Albiceleste are still floating around in the low-scoring vortex they became entrapped in at last summer’s World Cup.
Their all-star frontline including Messi, Gonzalo Higuain and Carlos Tevez couldn’t notch more than one against Jamaica, whose defence contained Wes Morgan and Adrian Mariappa, in the final group game to underline their commitment to using their extravagant resources sparingly.
This result means seven of their previous nine competitive fixtures would’ve entitled those to have backed the bet in question to rewards.
Argentina’s new-found obsession appears to be infectious, with Colombia taking measures to limit themselves in the final third too.
Each of their previous four matches, three in this competition and one pre-tournament friendly, have yielded scorelines that would’ve seen this bet cop.
Three finished 1-0 (two in their favour, one not), while their most recent outing against Venezuela ended goalless.
Further evidence in support of placing a bet on fewer than 1.5 goals comes via the fact that three of the previous four meetings between the pair have finished on the right side of the line as far as we’re concerned.