Kick-off: 1945, 26/09/2022
TV: Channel 4
England have already been relegated from Nations League Group A3 but should never lack motivation in any game against old rivals Germany.
Die Mannschaft can’t qualify for the finals and have some key players out of form at club level, so we’re sticking with the Three Lions with home advantage.
It is 11/8 for Gareth Southgate to receive a much-needed victory boost and that is our first England vs Germany prediction.
Admittedly, it does require a leap of faith to stand by an England team which has failed to score a single goal in open play during five fixtures in this pool.
Harry Kane struck from the penalty spot in a 1-1 draw away to Germany and the Three Lions picked up another point from a goalless stalemate with Italy.
Either side of those games, they lost 1-0 and 4-0 to Hungary while Friday’s 1-0 defeat by the Azzurri in Milan confirmed they will drop down to a B division.
Southgate’s men shaded possession at the San Siro and led 14-10 in terms of attempts on goal but Kane’s late double effort from a tight angle was the closest they came to scoring.
Giacomo Raspadori produced a scrappy game’s one moment of magic, superbly controlling a long ball before curling his shot past Nick Pope from just inside the area on 68 minutes.
It was another bump in the road just 59 days out from their World Cup opener against Iran and led to some of the 4,415 travelling fans booing Southgate at full-time.
However, the head coach declared: “It’s difficult for me to be too critical of the performance. We had more possession, more shots, more shots on target.
“I think for large parts we played very well. It’s really difficult to pinpoint why we’re not scoring because I think we’re getting into the right areas.
“We had the moments we would have had in the past – we just didn’t deliver that final piece of quality.”
A cagey start here would be understandable but England simply must keep plugging away in front of their own fans.
Looking at the 9/2 for Draw HT/England FT.
Germany went into their Leipzig clash with Hungary holding every chance of topping the table on six points, just one behind the pacesetting Magyars.
Die Mannschaft had drawn away to the same opponents and Italy before thrashing the Azzurri 5-2 in June’s closing contest.
However, Adam Szalai’s 17th-minute flick from a corner looped into the net and ultimately settled the issue.
Thomas Muller, Leroy Sane and Timo Werner had efforts saved as Germany enjoyed 69 per cent of the possession but Hungary held firm.
Midfielder Jonas Hofmann told ZDF: “We were caught sleeping a lot in the first half.
“In the second, we tried to play quicker. We were dominant but we didn’t create many big chances. The final pass and precision in our crosses was lacking.”
That was the first defeat of Hansi Flick’s 14-match reign but it is also worth remembering that predecessor Joachim Low signed off with a 2-0 loss to England at this venue in the delayed Euro 2020.
With Flick expected to make changes here, 11/4 for the Three Lions to win without conceding again is added to our England vs Germany betting tips.
Italy 1-0 ENGLAND
GERMANY 0-1 Hungary
Head-to-head: Germany 1-1 England, England 2-0 Germany, England 0-0 Germany, Germany 1-0 England, Germany 2-3 England
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