Lewis Hamilton heads to Monza just seven points behind Sebastian Vettel in the F1 title race after his victory in Belgium and is hard to oppose in our Italian Grand Prix betting tips.
The Briton was second here in a Mercedes one-two 12 months ago and had taken the chequered flag first three times in the previous four renewals of this great race.
Following a dominant weekend at Spa-Francorchamps, Hamilton’s superior speed in qualifying is again expected to prove crucial, even at Ferrari’s home circuit.
After matching Michael Schumacher’s pole position record, the 32-year-old marked his 200th grand prix by leading for virtually every lap to secure his fifth win of the season.
The set-up at Monza should similarly suit Mercedes and Hamilton will be keen to maintain his momentum before facing more demanding conditions in Singapore.
Hamilton heads the race betting at 13/20 and should have enough in hand to see off 5/2 chance Vettel at this venue while the Briton also stands out at 3/5 to secure yet another pole.
How the Belgian Grand Prix finished:
1 Hamilton (Mercedes), 2 Vettel (Ferrari), 3 Ricciardo (Red Bull), 4 Raikkonen (Ferrari), 5 Bottas (Mercedes), 6 Hulkenberg (Renault), 7 Grosjean (Haas), 8 Massa (Williams), 9 Ocon (Force India), 10 Sainz (Toro Rosso), 11 Stroll (Williams), 12 Kvyat (Toro Rosso), 13 Palmer (Renault), 14 Vandoorne (McLaren), 15 Magnussen (Haas), 16 Ericsson (Sauber), DNF Perez (Force India), Alonso (McLaren), Verstappen (Red Bull), Wehrlein (Sauber)
Valtteri Bottas had “an all-around difficult weekend” in Belgium, being a distant third in qualifying and then slipping down to fifth place in the race itself.
“After the Safety Car restart I was on the Soft tyres but the guys who overtook me were on the UltraSofts,” he reported. “I was on the back foot, struggled with grip and could not fight them.”
Team principal Toto Wolff vowed to work hard on addressing problems with the Finn’s car, though, and it is 9/10 for both Mercedes drivers to make the podium at Monza, as has happened twice in the last three years.
Bwin also has markets on which constructor and driver will be first to retire at Monza, with McLaren heading one list at 5/1 and Fernando Alonso the 10/1 favourite for the other.
Alonso’s troubled relationship with Honda reached a new low after McLaren’s Japanese engine partner hinted he may have retired from the Belgian Grand Prix on purpose.
That was his seventh retirement of a miserable year and the Spaniard moaned: “The car was too slow on the straights and it was impossible to have any battles out there, so points were also impossible. Eventually, we had to stop due to an engine issue.”
Past Italian Grand Prix results:
2016 Rosberg (Mercedes), Hamilton (Mercedes), Vettel (Ferrari)
2015 Hamilton (Mercedes), Vettel (Ferrari), Massa (Williams)
2014 Hamilton (Mercedes), Rosberg (Mercedes), Massa (Williams)
2013 Vettel (Red Bull), Alonso (Ferrari), Webber (Red Bull)
2012 Hamilton (McLaren), Perez (Sauber), Alonso (Ferrari)
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