Date: 05/11/2023
Venue: Autodromo Jose Carlos Pace
Max Verstappen claimed another record as a dominant victory at the Mexico City Grand Prix made it 16 wins for the season.
The Red Bull driver blasted into the lead from third by the first corner and then survived a red flag restart to cruise to success at altitude.
Few would bet against the Dutchman standing atop the podium again in Brazil this weekend but there is not huge value at 1/3 in our Brazilian Grand Prix betting tips.
Behind Verstappen it was another miserable weekend for team-mate Sergio Perez. The Mexican crashed out at the first corner after cutting across Charles Leclerc, leaving his fervent home crowd devastated.
It heaped yet more pressure on Perez’s Red Bull seat, with Daniel Ricciardo’s impressive drive in the sister AlphaTauri coming at the worst possible time for the Mexican.
“Sergio has an agreement with us for next year and our intention is for him to be in the car in 2024,” said Red Bull team principal Christian Horner.
“We will give him all the support he needs to ensure he finishes second in the championship.
“It was great to see Daniel perform so well and it endorses our decision to bring him back. I thought he was outstanding this weekend and if it was not for the red flag, he would have finished further up the order.”
Ricciardo finished seventh in Mexico having qualified fourth and matched the pace of the leading cars for much of the race. The experienced Australian is 10/1 to secure a top-six finish in Brazil and strengthen his claims for a Red Bull seat next season.
Perez needs a result after being confident he had got on top of issues with his car before his early exit in Mexico. He is 2/1 to make the podium and 16/1 for a morale-boosting win.
He not only has to worry about Ricciardo but the challenge for second place in the drivers’ standings from Lewis Hamilton.
The Mercedes driver crossed the line second for successive races – having been disqualified in Austin the week earlier – in Mexico and appears to have taken a big step forward with his upgraded car.
Hamilton said: “It was a great day and I wasn’t expecting to be up here. I kept my nose clean at the start and tried to progress forward. I tried to close the gap to Max but he was long gone.”
The seven-time world champion is now just 20 points adrift of Perez in the standings.
Hamilton has won three times in Brazil before and is available at 7/1 to win a fourth. If he continues to fall short of Verstappen, a podium finish at 13/20 is probably more realistic.
McLaren’s Lando Norris produced an extraordinary late drive to finish fifth in Mexico after starting from 17th and dropping to 14th after the red flag restart midway through the race.
That came after four successive podiums and will have further boosted confidence at McLaren.
Norris is 4/5 to return to the podium while a double top-six finish for Norris and Oscar Piastri is 1/1.
Past Brazilian Grand Prix winners
2022: Russell (Mercedes), Hamilton (Mercedes), Sainz (Ferrari)
2021: Hamilton (Mercedes), Verstappen (Red Bull), Bottas (Mercedes)
2020: not held
2019: Verstappen (Red Bull), Gasly (Toro Rosso), Sainz (McLaren)
2018: Hamilton (Mercedes), Verstappen (Red Bull), Raikkonen (Ferrari).
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