Odds: France 7/100, Draw 33/1, Italy 8/1
Kick Off: 2000, 23/02/2018
Stadium: Stade Velodrome
TV: BBC One
France and Italy have endured miserable Six Nations campaigns to date, with their clash in Marseille increasingly looking like a wooden-spoon decider.
However, while the Azzurri have conceded 15 tries and 102 points in two heavy defeats, Les Bleus have been genuinely unlucky not to open their account.
Only Johnny Sexton’s spectacular last-gasp drop goal denied them against Ireland, while they dominated Scotland for periods at Murrayfield, only for Greig Laidlaw’s unerring accuracy to give the hosts a 32-26 win.
A Look At France’s Betting Odds
France have dropped a number of players for “inappropriate behaviour” after Sunday’s defeat in Edinburgh, but as is so often with Les Bleus they could be at their most dangerous when appearing to be in disarray.
Head coach Jacques Brunel acted after some players were questioned by Police Scotland, although it was subsequently established that no crime had been committed.
It is thought that Brunel permitted the players a night out in Edinburgh but has since taken a dim view of their conduct, resulting in a cull when announcing an initial 31-man squad to face Italy.
Teddy Thomas, Remi Lamerat, Louis Picamoles, Anthony Belleau, Jonathan Danty, Arthur Iturria, Felix Lambey, Alexandre Lapandry and Sekou Macalou will miss the game.
However, while Thomas and Picamoles in particular will be difficult to replace, there is still plenty of quality at Brunel’s disposal, including a new back-three of Hugo Bonneval, Benjamin Fall and Remy Grosso.
The other switches are in midfield, where Toulon powerhouse Mathieu Bastareaud partners Geoffrey Doumayrou, and at lock, with Paul Gabrillagues featuring alongside Sebastien Vahaamahina.
Having shown more attacking flair than either Ireland or Scotland in their first two games, we like 2/1 that the first scoring play is a try for the hosts from the France vs Italy odds.
A Look At Italy’s Betting Odds
Italy’s efforts to avoid finishing bottom of the Six Nations for a third year running have been hampered by heavy defeats to England and Ireland.
Conor O’Shea’s side had their moments against England in Rome, but were blown away in the first half in Dublin.
While they have faced arguably the competition’s two strongest sides, the Azzurri’s inability to keep the score down gives cause for concern against a free-flowing French side.
O’Shea has made three changes from the side beaten by Ireland, with prop Andrea Lovotti and hooker Leonardo Ghiraldini both gaining starts, while Maxime Mbanda features in the back-row.
But we’re still finishing our France vs Italy betting tips with 1/2 that France win by 13 or more points.
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Best bets for France vs Italy