Kick-off: 1400, 06/12/2020
TV: Amazon Prime
England are hot favourites to add Autumn Nations Cup glory to their Six Nations success when hosting France in Sunday’s final, but may not have things all their own way.
Les Bleus are hampered by being forced to field a shadow team due to an agreement with their domestic clubs, but they have still impressed in this tournament.
We feel bookmakers have underestimated the underdogs and they appeal at Evens with 17 points start in the handicap market for our first England vs France prediction.
A Look At England’s Betting Odds
England suffered their only defeat of the year when losing 24-17 to France in Paris back in February and will be gunning for revenge at Twickenham.
Eddie Jones’ side recovered to win their next four Six Nations matches and edged out Les Bleus on points difference at the top of the table.
In this tournament, England blitzed Georgia 40-0 before beating Ireland 18-7 here and Wales 24-13 in Llanelli.
Anthony Watson insists England are fully motivated by the chance to pick up more silverware.
He said: “This is a big deal. We want to win trophies. It’s something that when you’re done with rugby you can say you’ve won.
“It’s irrelevant whether it’s the Nations Cup or the Six Nations; a tournament that’s just been made or one that’s been there for however many years. It’s still an opportunity to win a trophy.
“Also, putting yourself in finals is where you want to measure yourself as a player. It’s the highest-pressure game you can play in and it’s a real test of you as a player and as a team.”
England should prove too strong for this French outfit but they have been content to grind out victories in their last couple of group-stage matches and it may be the same in the decider.
Looking at the England vs France odds, we like 9/4 for the hosts to prevail by just 1-12 points.
A Look At France’s Betting Odds
France were gifted an opening victory in Group B when Fiji were forced to forfeit their match due to coronavirus issues.
Les Bleus then showed plenty of spirit when beating an in-form Scotland side 22-15 at Murrayfield, which was their first win in Edinburgh since 2014.
Fabien Galthie’s men ran in five tries during a 36-5 drubbing of Italy and seem to be playing without fear in this tournament.
Although missing the entire starting XV which beat England earlier this year and 25 front-line internationals overall, their strength in depth has shone through.
England fly-half George Ford expects a stiff challenge, stating: “France are very good defensively now, obviously with Shaun Edwards there.
“Shaun brings a very, very energised, aggressive defence. Lots of line speed, getting off the line, wanting to force errors. It fires them up in terms of winning collisions as well.
“Shaun’s record speaks for itself. Any defensive team coached by him will be up for the challenge.”
Ford added: “Whoever they pick or select they’re going to be dangerous…they’ll be coming here chomping at the bit and we’ve got to pay that the utmost respect.”
We’re expecting this to be a tight tussle early on, so 8/11 for more points to be scored in the second half completes our England vs France betting tips.
Wales 13-24 ENGLAND
FRANCE 36-5 Italy
Head-to-head: France 24-17 England, England 44-8 France, France 22-16 England, England 19-16 France, France 21-31 England
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