On September 17, the third fight in the trilogy between Canelo Alvarez and Gennady Golovkin will finally take place, four years after their last meeting.
We’ve looked at how the previous two fights unfolded – and what they’ve been up to since then – to predict how the final chapter will end.
Our great infographic will set the stage for this long-awaited clash and help punters to assess the Canelo Alvarez vs Gennady Golovkin III odds.
How do they compare?
Canelo is the younger of the two by more than eight years, yet has fought 17 more times in his career.
Golovkin has the more devastating knockout record, having secured almost 90 per cent of his victories via that manner.
What happened when they last met?
Both of their previous encounters lasted the full 12 rounds and were decided by the judges – the first a split draw and the second in favour of Alvarez.
Over the two fights combined, their punching accuracy was fairly similar but Golovkin threw – and landed – more often.
However, while he connected with almost twice as many jabs, Canelo was more successful with his power punches, with these differences more noticeable in the later rounds.
How have they performed since then?
Since they last met in the ring back in September 2018, Canelo has faced twice as many opponents; eight to Golovkin’s four.
Neither man saw much action in 2020 due to the pandemic, both making their returns a day apart that December, but Álvarez has been much busier since then.
Canelo went on to fight in February, May and November of 2021, while GGG didn’t step back into the ring until April 2022 to defeat Ryota Murata.
A month later, Alvarez suffered a surprise loss to Dimitry Bivol – his only defeat apart from a 2013 loss to Floyd Mayweather.
There has been a marked difference in performances between each boxer’s last three fights. Golovkin has been by far the more industrious, landing twice as many power punches and over eight times as many jabs per round.
How many rounds will the fight last?
Looking at when their previous 12-round fights have been stopped, the third round stands out. This is the only stage at which both boxers have seen at least four of their 12-round bouts finish.
While Canelo has spent more time in the ring overall, two of his fights since his last meeting with Golovkin saw him secure a third-round knockout.
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