Kick-off: 2000, 06/03/2019
Stadium: Estadio do Dragao
TV: BT Sport
Trueform shows exactly how well football teams have been playing, helping you to spot potential value bets. See who has performed above expectations and which teams are being underestimated by oddsmakers.
What Trueform says for Porto vs Roma
Roma will take a slender 2-1 advantage to Porto for the second leg of their Champions League tie and can do just enough to progress.
The Italian outfit secured a 1-1 stalemate at Estadio do Dragao in a qualifier two seasons ago and are fancied to finish on level terms again.
We reckon 13/5 for a draw is a rock-solid Porto vs Roma prediction.
A Look At FC Porto’s Betting Odds
Porto gave themselves something to take into the return fixture when Lopez Adrian fired in a half-volley with 11 minutes to go at Stadio Olimpico.
The Dragons had previously gone 27 games without defeat in normal time and were unbeaten during the group stage of this competition, rattling off five straight victories after sharing the spoils at Schalke.
However, losing leading scorer Moussa Marega to a muscle injury prior to the trip to Italy was a big blow, especially with Vincent Aboubakar already a long-term absentee.
Porto coach Sergio Conceicao still feels his men can take confidence into the second leg.
He said: “The players reacted like I expected them to – with character, personality and knowing that there are 90 more minutes in Estadio do Dragao.
“A draw would have been the fair result, but our goal leaves it all open for the second leg.
“Let’s keep this defensive strength at home and be more focused on attack, like we were in the second half.”
Another brave effort is assured, but we still favour 333/100 for a score draw from the Porto vs Roma odds.
Marega is now fit again and Porto bounced back from the loss in Italy to secure three straight domestic victories, but they surrendered top spot in the Primeira Liga when losing 2-1 at home to Benfica on Saturday.
A Look At AS Roma’s Betting Odds
Contrary to Conceicao’s opinion, we felt Roma were worthy winners on home turf, with Nicolo Zaniolo striking twice in the space of six second-half minutes.
Edin Dzeko had earlier hit the post as the Giallorossi created the better chances before the interval.
Eusebio Di Francesco’s side can be fragile defensively away from home, losing 4-1 at Barcelona and 5-2 at Liverpool during the knockout rounds last season, as well as going down 3-0 at Real Madrid this term.
However, they did impress when drawing 3-3 at Chelsea 18 months ago and prevailed 2-1 at CSKA Moscow in November.
Di Francesco declared after the first leg: “There was a lot of solidity from the team and we knew what we wanted.
“We hit them at the right time and created many situations, giving away very little.
“Too bad for us conceding the goal, because it is not really our mistake.
“But we’ll go there to score goals. We’ve got to be daring. The games are always open.”
Let’s add 25/2 for a 2-2 draw in Portugal to our Porto vs Roma betting tips.
Roma suffered a disappointing 3-0 defeat at Lazio in Serie A on Saturday but had previously won 3-2 at Frosinone, their fifth away triumph in that competition.
Additional stats
First-leg result:
ROMA 2-1 PORTO – Nicolo Zaniolo (2) + Lopez Adrian
Previous head-to-head: Roma 0-3 Porto, Porto 1-1 Roma
Join bwin today and receive up to £10 money back as a FreeBet if your first wager at odds of 1/1 (2.0) or greater is a loser! Terms and conditions apply.
Stay close to the action with the bwin app. Access more markets than any other betting provider and scan our in-depth football statistics menu to find and make your bet selections fast. Download now the best betting app.
