France vs Scotland: Les Bleus have too much to do

France vs Scotland: Les Bleus have too much to do

Kick-off: 2000, 26/03/2021

Stadium: Stade de France

TV: BBC

The Six Nations title is on the line when France host Scotland in the delayed final match of the 2021 tournament.

The match should have been played in February but was delayed because of a Covid-19 outbreak in the France squad, meaning Les Bleus know they need a bonus-point win and a winning margin of at least 21 points to deny Wales the title.

That could lead to a frantic second half and the most points to be scored in the second half at 4/6 is a confident opening France vs Scotland prediction.

A Look At France’s Betting Odds

France broke Welsh hearts last weekend and are now hoping to do the same, albeit with their title rivals having no say in their destiny this time.

France claimed a dramatic last-gasp 32-30 victory to deny Wales the Grand Slam on Saturday, with full-back Brice Dulin scoring a try two minutes into injury time to give Les Bleus a five-point maximum.

Wales looked on course for a clean sweep when fly-half Dan Biggar scored 20 points from a try, three penalties and three conversions, while flanker Josh Navidi and wing Josh Adams also touched down.

The hosts, though, refused to throw in the towel, and they prevailed through tries by Dulin, Romain Taofifenua, Antoine Dupont and captain Charles Ollivon, with goalkickers Mathieu Jalibert and Romain Ntamack booting 12 points between them.

The size of the winning margin that France require means they have no choice but to go for broke from the outset and we fancy the hosts to be leading by at least seven points at half-time, which is available at 8/11 in the France vs Scotland odds.

A Look At Scotland’s Betting Odds

The rescheduling of the match means Scotland were only allowed to select five English-based players due to a deal with Gallagher Premiership bosses as it now sits outside the Test window.

The likes of Saracens wing Sean Maitland have missed out but Finn Russell returns from concussion at least and head coach Gregor Townsend is determined not to dwell on the absentees.

“The match against France provides us with an opportunity to finish the Six Nations in our highest position in its history,” he said.

“This is a great opportunity for us to take on France, at home in Paris, as they also look to end the championship on a high.

“Both teams have needed to manage a short six-day turnaround and we have used this week to regroup and focus on putting in our best performance of the competition so far, which we will need to deliver if we are to leave Paris with a victory.

“As a group we have faced several challenges throughout this Six Nations, it has brought us closer together, and I know the players are motivated and looking forward to representing their country again on Friday night.”

Scotland’s campaign began with a stunning 11-6 win against England at Twickenham but that was followed by narrow home defeats against Wales (25-24) and Ireland (27-24) before a 52-10 thrashing of Italy.

The fact they have been competitive in every game bodes well and they have the ability to take advantage if France struggle to cope with the pressure to score points.

The task facing the hosts looks too much and for our final France vs Scotland prediction, we think 9/4 for Les Bleus to win by 1-12 points – as they did in the Autumn Nations Cup in November – is a solid pick.

Additional stats

Last result:

FRANCE 32-30 Wales

SCOTLAND 52-10 Italy

Head-to-head: Scotland 15-22 France, Scotland 28-17 France, Scotland 17-14 France, France 32-3 Scotland, France 27-10 Scotland

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