Kick-off: 1945, 17/11/2020
Stadium: Estadio de la Cartuja
TV: Sky Sports
Germany just need to avoid defeat in Sevilla to top Nations League Group A4 and we’re backing them to take a point off Spain on Tuesday night.
The last two encounters between these European superpowers have ended in stalemate, including September’s Stuttgart clash in this competition.
Punters can get 23/10 for another draw at Estadio de la Cartuja and that is our first Spain vs Germany prediction.
A Look At Spain’s Betting Odds
Spain will be kicking themselves for slipping up after a bright start to this pool, which featured two home wins after the draw in Germany.
Since then, La Roja have lost 1-0 away to Ukraine and drawn 1-1 in Switzerland, with a sloppy friendly stalemate versus Holland in Amsterdam coming in between.
Luis Enrique’s side were behind at half-time versus the Swiss on Saturday night and then looked in trouble when Sergio Ramos had two penalties saved.
However, with their hosts down to 10 men, Gerard Moreno stabbed in a deep cross from Tottenham full-back Sergio Reguilon in the final minute of normal time.
Gerard told the UEFA website: “This team creates chances. That’s the road to follow.
“We really had plenty of goal opportunities here. Now we’ve got to be better at putting them away.
“It wasn’t to be, but we continue to depend on ourselves to qualify and if we play at a great level on Tuesday against Germany then we can do it.”
It has been worrying to see La Roja outworked by supposedly inferior opponents, though, and they do look short of pace in defence when getting caught on the break.
Looking at the Spain vs Germany odds, we think 16/5 for a score draw is good value.
A Look At Germany’s Betting Odds
Germany did us a favour when coming from behind to beat Ukraine 3-1 in Leipzig, which gave us a trio of winning bets, including 19/2 for forecasting the correct score.
After trailing early on, Die Mannschaft equalised on 23 minutes when Leroy Sane was played in by Bayern Munich team-mate Leon Goretzka following a swift counter-attack.
Timo Werner headed Germany in front after 33 minutes and the Chelsea forward claimed a second when a deflected effort went in off Ilya Zabarnyi just after the hour.
That put Joachim Low’s side on nine points, one ahead of Spain and three clear of Ukraine.
“The most important thing was coming out of this with a positive win,” said Sane. “We still have a long season ahead of us.”
Germany are unbeaten in 12 matches and have only lost once in 19 outings since struggling in the inaugural renewal of this competition.
Experienced figures such as Joshua Kimmich, Julian Draxler and Emre Can are currently missing, but the likes of Leon Goretzka, Philipp Max and Matthias Ginter are helping to fill those gaps.
A dynamic forward line of Sane, Serge Gnabry and Werner is also on fire, with the last-named scoring in five straight games for club and country, netting seven times during that hot streak.
We’re snapping up 47/25 for Werner to strike at any time again in Seville for our final Spain vs Germany prediction.
Switzerland 1-1 SPAIN – Gerard Moreno
GERMANY 3-1 Ukraine – Leroy Sane, Timo Werner (2)
Head-to-head: Germany 1-1 Spain, Germany 1-1 Spain, Spain 0-1 Germany, Germany 0-1 Spain
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