Stadium: Ekaterinburg Arena
TV: BBC Two
Mexico only need a draw to finish top of their World Cup group but we feel they have the gameplan and players to pick off Sweden for a third straight win.
The Scandinavians must chase victory after their cruel loss to Germany and that could leave them open at the back in Ekaterinburg.
El Tri have already shown how dangerous they can be on the counter-attack, so 7/5 for them to prevail is our first Mexico vs Sweden prediction.
A Look At Mexico’s Betting Odds
Mexico were gifted the lead against South Korea via a Carlos Vela penalty and then doubled their advantage through Javier Hernandez on the break.
Son Heung-min claimed a superb consolation goal late on but El Tri were good value for a second success after opening with a 1-0 defeat of Germany.
“I believe that we have played very well,” said coach Juan Carlos Osorio. “We have had two good matches.
“Every match, we insist on being fully focused and not losing that message. We have received a lot of praise but remain focused nonetheless.
“I think we have earned and deserved this victory and want to celebrate it with all our supporters, but then it is back to work, focusing on our next match.”
A Look At Sweden’s Betting Odds
Sweden looked on course to follow up an opening success against South Korea with a famous win over Germany after Ola Toivonen’s fine finish in Sochi.
However, the holders levelled through Marco Reus and then their sustained pressure finally told five minutes into stoppage time via a Toni Kroos strike.
Head coach Janne Andersson was unhappy his side were not awarded a penalty early in the first half when Jerome Boateng appeared to catch Marcus Berg as he ran through on goal.
He said: “If we had got that penalty awarded, that is possibly what we might have needed to cope with a team like Germany.”
The Swedes have shown enough in both matches to suggest their direct tactics can threaten the Mexico defence, but we still feel they look one-paced at the back.
El Tri’s speedy forwards can take advantage and 9/1 for them to oblige 2-1 completes our Mexico vs Sweden betting tips.
South Korea 1-2 MEXICO – Vela, Hernandez
Germany 2-1 SWEDEN – Toivonen
Head-to-head: Mexico 0-1 Sweden, Mexico 0-0 Sweden, Mexico 2-1 Sweden, Sweden 1-1 Mexico, Mexico 2-0 Sweden
Group F Standings