Despite Lewis Hamilton’s inability to convert early-season dominance into recent Grand Prix wins, with just one in his last five attempts, the Mercedes man is the all-too-short 1/2-favourite to take the 11th race on the calendar in Hungary.
For the first time since Hamilton’s four-race winning streak ended in Monaco, the Switzerland-based driver finished fastest in first practice at the Hungaroring, where – it is conceded – the 29-year-old has emerged triumphant four times in the past seven years.
However, the potential future Mr Nicole Scherzinger went into the Canadian Grand Prix with a similarly impressive record, having crossed the finishing line first three times previously and twice in the last four Formula One campaigns.
The former McLaren stalwart had also won twice in Germany prior to coming home third at the Hockenheimring last time out, which was a fine result after starting on the grid in 15th due to brake failure.
On both occasions, Hamilton could not find a way past championship leader Nico Rosberg, who made his way onto the lowest rung of the podium in Montreal after his teammate retired, again due to brake failure.
Rosberg has been on fire in recent weeks, winning three of the last five Grand Prix to build a 14-point lead over Hamilton in the championship standings.
However, while the 7/4 odds on the German following up taking his home Grand Prix for the first time with another first place certainly appeal, there may be an even better way to play in Hungary.
Red Bull’s Daniel Ricciardo emphatically proved there’s life in the four-time constructers’ champions yet when topping the podium in Canada, and Mercedes were out-qualified by Williams – who carry the German giants’ engines – in the very next race at Austria’s Red Bull Ring.
With that in mind take the 7/5 about the field against Hamilton, who simply shouldn’t be odds-on in Hungary based on recent form.