Manchester City can book a place in the Champions League knockout round for the first time in their history should they beat CSKA Moscow at home, at odds of 3/19, and Viktoria Plzen cause a biblical upset against Bayern Munich.
A draw in the match is valued at 25/4 and CSKA’s chances of winning leaves them with a price of 27/2.
But while City’s home form has been rampant, a former Manchester United employee can inspire the visitors to score one goal in the game, which can be backed at 33/20.
Zoran Tosic has scored five goals in his last three games.
Tosic’s name may take some serious memory raking before it’s recalled by many United fans, but he arrives back in the city in which he used to reside in supreme form.
A run of scoring was ignited in the home game against City on matchday three and he followed that strike with a hat-trick over Krasnodar and the winner against Volga.
The Serbian also scored in CSKA’s 3-2 Champions League win over Plzen earlier in the campaign.
City have only kept one clean sheet at home in the Champions League.
This is the Citizens’ third crack at Champions League football and they’ve only once managed to prevent a visiting opposition from scoring in their seven outings at home.
To make matters worse, their defence has shipped at least one goal in two of their three previous Champions League games this season.
The visitors have arrested a poor run infront of goal by smacking in eight in their last three.
The defending Russian league champions have rarely been kept at bay during 2013/14, scoring at least one goal in 11 of their 18 total matches.
They’ve transformed their scoring fortunes recently though, having been shut out in six of seven games before breaking free to score eight in their last three outings.