While the football world goes into a state of semi-slumber as we await the arrival of the final round of Euro 2012 qualifiers, there is still money to be made for committed football betting fans. The often-derided Johnstone’s Paint Trophy is on the menu tonight and I’ve found a sweet little over/under 2.5 goals treble which could pocket punters who use their free £25 bet for joining bwin.com a cool £113.33 if the predictions prove correct. Read on for the lowdown…
Aldershot v Oxford to contain under 2.5 goals @ 3/4
This is probably the pick of the bunch in terms of value. Although both teams have had respectable starts to their respective League Two campaigns, they currently occupy the bottom two places in an over 2.5 goals table for the division. Just three of Oxford’s 11 league matches to date have contained three or more goals, while the Shots have been even less entertaining, with nine of their 11 fixtures failing to get past the two-goal mark.
A closer look at the formbook also shows that all five of Aldershot’s league matches at the Rec so far this term have had less than three goals. On top of that, just two of the past nine meetings between these two sides in all competitions have produced over 2.5 goals and when they met in the JPT last year – also with the Shots drawn at home – the theme was continued (Oxford went down 2-0, if you were wondering). Judging by these statistics, it is easy to see why the odds appear to be in our favour for this particular selection.
Gillingham v Barnet to contain over 2.5 goals @ 13/20
Barnet have been seriously impressive in the cup competitions so far this year. After defying a gap of two divisions to dump Portsmouth out of the Carling Cup at Fratton Park, they then put up a strong showing at another Championship side, Burnley, before bowing out 3-2 when the hosts cruelly scored an winner in extra-time. Having also won away at League One side Colchester in the previous round of the JPT (again with over 2.5 goals scored in the match), it is obvious that the Bees are more than capable of finding the back of the net on the road in knock-out football.
Both Gillingham and Barnet have records showing that seven of their 11 League Two matches to date have contained over 2.5 goals, with four of the five away matches played by the Bees fitting our criteria. A quick look at the previous meetings between the two sides shows that five of the past six have produced three or more goals, including both of their clashes last term (Barnet won 4-2 at Prestfield after the Gills had won 2-1 at Underhill). And what was the score when they met barely six weeks ago in the league? A 2-2 draw. Surely we can’t go wrong by backing another over 2.5 goals clash tonight?
Huddersfield v Bradford to contain over 2.5 goals @ 57/100
A proper West Yorkshire derby at the Galpharm and one which should produce plenty of entertainment. Huddersfield’s five matches in League One at home thus far have contained 16 goals, while Bradford’s six away fixtures in the division below have seen the net bulge on 18 occasions – so by these statistics, it is reasonable to expect a minimum of three goals tonight.
Huddersfield are the strong favourites and it is easy to see why – Bradford will surely rest plenty of players as their focus is to pull away from the dreaded trap door to the Conference. And while Terriers boss Lee Clark may well ring the changes too, he has such a deep squad that he can look to the likes of Lee Novak to provide the goals, as he did in the previous round of the JPT, when Huddersfield won 2-1 (another over 2.5 goals clash) at Northampton. The Bantams have shown that they can score on the road and Clark’s men will always give the opposition chances to do just that, so a home win in a high-scoring affair looks very likely.
New customers can register here to claim a free £25 bet.
Follow us on Twitter @bwinbetting