A trio of Premier League, League One and League Two matches are all on our radar on Saturday as we look to land yet another over 2.5 goals treble.
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Over 2.5 goals in Norwich v Chelsea @ 3/5
Norwich City’s attacking philosophy has been as bold as it has been successful on their return to the Premier League and I am expecting another match full of goals when they entertain Chelsea in Saturday’s early afternoon kick-off.
Paul Lambert is doing an incredible job with the Canaries, taking a team of previously lower league journeymen and turning them into accomplished Premier League performers sitting in the top half of the table. The Scot’s bold attacking philosophy has paid dividends, as well as producing fixtures packed with goals.
Norwich have scored 32 goals – only the top five have scored more – which is a good job as they have conceded 36 and have not kept a clean sheet all season. With goal columns like that, it is no surprise their matches average 3.24 goals, with 62% of their matches featuring over 2.5 goals.
At Carrow Road those stats are 3.2 and 60%, and more of the same looks on the cards when Chelsea visit East Anglia. Only the top two have scored more than the Blues’ 40 goals, but Chelsea have kept just two clean sheets all year. With their matches averaging 3.1 goals a game, a repeat of the reverse fixture – a 2-1 win for Chelsea – is more than possible.
Over 2.5 goals in Notts County v MK Dons @ 3/4
Martin Allen’s Notts County have been among the goals at both ends of the pitch in League One this season and I see no reason why that will stop when MK Dons visit Meadow Lane on Saturday.
After a promising start to the season County are on the slide, but goals are almost guaranteed wherever they are. They have scored 41 league goals, a record only bettered by the top five sides, but they have conceded 39 and only the teams in the relegation zone have let in more. With a record like that, it is no surprise to see Mad Dog’s side in mid-table, but I’ll be on them to continue their goalscoring trend.
County’s games are averaging 3.2 goals a game, with an incredible 72% of their fixtures featuring over 2.5 goals. Those stats rise to 3.27 and 73% at Meadow Lane and that should continue. The Dons are free-scoring: only Huddersfield have scored more goals on their travels and Karl Robinson’s side have bagged 16 goals in their last six away trips. A promising 58% of the Dons’ away games feature over 2.5 goals at an average of exactly three and more of the same can be expected here.
Over 2.5 goals in Bradford v Burton Albion @ 87/100
Phil Parkinson has finally got to grips with the size of the task he undertook at Bradford City as the Yorkshire outfit slowly clamber away from the relegation issue at the bottom of League Two. This has been achieved with goals galore in both penalty boxes and the visit of Burton Albion should see more of the same.
The Bantams have been in the goals recently – each of their last six games in all competitions have seen at least three scored – but this is just part of a wider trend, especially at home.
There have been 40 goals at Valley Parade this season at an average of 3.08, which works out at 69% of all games played. Despite their lowly position, only five teams have scored more than Bradford’s 22 home goals and I expect goals to fly in when Burton are the visitors.
Burton have scored 39 and conceded 40 this season, the majority of which have come away from home. Only struggling Plymouth have conceded more on the road than Burton’s 25, but only two sides have scored more often.
There have been 48 goals in Burton’s away games at an average of 3.69 a game. That is a massive 77% of their away fixtures and with Bradford so potent at home the stats say this is a nailed on over 2.5 goals match.
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