Over 2.5 goals in Man Utd v West Brom @ 57/100
Upon victory against Chelsea last weekend, West Brom won three Premier League games on the bounce for the first time in almost 12 years. Bwin make the Baggies 9/1 for a fourth straight win at Old Trafford this Sunday, but avoid this long shot as Manchester United have won 38 and lost just three of their last 43 home league games.
However, West Brom did recover from two goals down to snatch a 2-2 in this fixture last season, but United are unbeaten in the last 11 meetings between the sides, nine of which have been wins.
United’s strikers will be licking their lips, with in-form Wayne Rooney (5/2 to score two or more) having scored in three of his last four games against the Baggies, but Javier Hernandez (evens to score) could start if Rooney is offered a breather and the Mexican has scored both times he has faced West Brom. The visitors are not without their threat, though, having lost just one of their last seven away league games. Either way, all signs point to goals, with West Brom only likely to prevail if the hosts carry their European form into the Premier League. Expect more than 2.5 goals at Old Trafford at 57/100.
Over 2.5 goals in AC Milan v Lecce @ 57/100
After Milan’s Champions League scare at Arsenal on Tuesday, the Serie A leaders were handed a domestic boost when second-placed Juventus drew their game in hand with Bologna the following night and the Rossoneri will expect to bounce back with a home win over Lecce at odds of 11/50 on Sunday.
Lecce are four points adrift of safety and are not expected to make a huge impression in the San Siro, as their price of 11/1 for the win suggests. They did, however, make an impression in the first meeting between these sides back in November, with Milan edging a 4-3 thriller in Stadio Via del Mare.
The last five meetings between these sides have produced 17 goals – an average of over three per game – and the league leaders are in rampant form of late, irrespective of their Emirates defeat. The four-goal first-leg debacle of Arsenal was swiftly followed by a 3-1 win at Cesena. After a conservative draw with Juventus, normal service was resumed for Milan, who romped to a 4-0 win at Palermo in their last league outing.
Over half (53.8%) of their league games this season have produced at least three goals, while exactly 50% of Lecce’s have seen likewise. At home, Milan have lost just once this season and although Lecce have looked more comfortable on the road, the title-chasers should prevail with relative ease. Back over 2.5 goals at 57/100 with Milan the likely beneficiaries.
Over 2.5 goals in Schalke v Hamburg @ 13/20
In the event that you overcome the two 2pm hurdles listed above, cast your eyes over to Germany as Bundesliga stalwarts Schalke and Hamburg lock horns at the Veltins-Arena (4.30pm kick-off). Schalke, much improved on last season’s 14th-placed finish, are 39/50 on for a home win, with Hamburg (16/5) a shadow of their former selves this season.
The home side’s odds may have been even shorter if they weren’t entering the game on the back of three consecutive defeats, two of which have been domestic. But only Bayern Munich have scored more home goals than Schalke this term and an enormous 75% of their games this season have accumulated over 2.5 goals.
Bwin offer 13/20 for that outcome on Sunday and the fact that four of the last five meetings between these sides have seen at least three goals only strengthens the case. With the league’s joint-top scorer Klaas-Jan Huntelaar (18) in their ranks, the hosts will surely have too much firepower for Hamburg, whose main striker Mladen Petric has managed only a third of the Dutchman’s tally.
However, with Thorsten Fink’s men having emerged victorious 17 times in this fixture, compared with Schalke’s ten, history suggests they could prove problematic for the hosts, so expect both teams to score, with the home side to take the points.
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