It’s very, very cold, I’ll blame that for the slight error in last week’s article, but more on that in a minute. I’m having to type fast so my fingers don’t freeze to the keyboard.
I was going to back Bayern Munich this week as they celebrate the news that Pep Guardiola will take over at the Allianz Arena at the end of the season, but unfortunately they play on Sunday, so I have picked (or re-picked) another German team instead.
Here’s a top tip, free of charge: when having a punt on a game, it’s best to double check the date of the match before putting your money on.
Last week I advised you to back Borussia Monchengladbach against Hoffenheim, despite the notable fact that the match was not due to take place until this weekend (sorry).
However, the plus side is that it can once again take pride of place in this weekend’s acca. It’s a good job Tottenham ruined last Saturday’s coupon or this would have been a very long week.
If you agree with the selection of four games, all of which I have treble checked are definitely happening this Saturday, then by all means back it with the free £20 bet you get for signing up to a bwin account.
You might just win yourself a prize of £250.56 that would enable you to buy a massive hot water bottle and an electric blanket.
Actually, that’s an accident waiting to happen really, isn’t it?
Borussia Monchengladbach to beat Hoffenheim @ 2/1
The winter break is finally over in Germany, so this Saturday sees Monchengladbach travel to face Hoffenheim (this Saturday, not last Saturday, this Saturday!).
Marco Kurz’s side have continued to slide down the table even after the club moved to sack former Liverpool defender Markus Babbel from the hot seat, having lost all of their last six games in Die Bundesliga.
That poor run has included four straight losses at home, so the visitors will certainly fancy their chances, as would anyone right now who comes to the Rhein-Neckar Arena.
Monchengladbach’s form has been a lot more up and down than the hosts’ and they have drawn their last three away games, but they are difficult to beat, having not lost in five trips.
Hoffenheim are there for the taking and with odds of 17/10, I believe in Lucien Favre’s ability to mastermind an away win… hmm, I feel like I’ve heard all this somewhere before.
Sheffield Wednesday to beat Wolves @ 5/4
Forget everything you thought you knew about Sheffield Wednesday (that didn’t take long), because the Owls are on the march.
Despite their lowly position of 21st in the Championship, just one place outside the relegation zone, they are in fact the joint most in-form team in England’s second tier.
Dave Jones has guided his troops to four wins and a draw in their last six games, including their impressive 3-1 win at Hull last time out, while comparatively, Wolves are currently bottom of the form table with just four points from their last six outings.
With Dean Saunders in the hot seat, the Midlands club will be hoping to climb back up the league and admittedly, most of Wednesday’s recent successes have come away from Hillsborough.
But such is the gap in form and with a generous price of 5/4, I can’t help but back the blue and white stripes.
Swindon to beat Shrewsbury @ 9/20
Paolo Di Canio’s Swindon are also a team in form, picking up 14 points from their last six games in League One.
The Robins are right in the promotion mix and before their very wet 1-1 draw at Bournemouth last week had scored 14 goals without reply across their wins over Tranmere, Portsmouth and Carlisle.
Shrewsbury are the draw specialists of the division, with 12 stalemates in their 28 games, but have lost nearly as many (ten) and won only six times since promotion last year.
Graham Turner’s side have not lost since November, drawing with anyone who dares take them on, but a trip to the County Ground is the hardest game in League One at the moment and I fancy Swindon to end this particular unbeaten run.
Barcelona to beat Real Sociedad @ 7/25
If the first three games come up and we need the last one to triumph, who would it be good to turn to? How about Lionel Messi?
Having selected a couple of longer shots in Monchengladbach and Sheffield Wednesday, we can afford to treat ourselves and put our faith in the mighty Barcelona to notch up their 11th away win of the season, maintaining their 100% record on the road in La Liga.
Tito Vilanova’s superstars have failed to win only once in 19 league outings this season and that was in El Clasico, so a trip to San Sebastian to face Real Sociedad should not be a problem.
One thing to watch out for is Sociedad’s defensive record at home, only conceding six times in ten games, which is the joint least in the division, along with Atletico Madrid.
However, as Barcelona have bagged an incredible 35 goals away from the Camp Nou, also in ten games, it should make this a nice calm way to wrap up the acca.
Now to punish myself for last week’s error, I am off to stick my tongue to the nearest lamp post.
Follow David on Twitter @whichdave