Someone told me there was something in the newspaper the other day about a water drought in England, but I didn’t want to go out and buy one as it was tipping down with rain.
What I did instead was head down to the bowels of the bwin laboratory where the bwin boffins were hard at work crunching the numbers, watching hundreds of football matches and arguing over who was the best James Bond.
They came up with this absolute beauty of a Saturday accumulator which will either make you rich or exhaust you with excitement and tension in the process.
As the season draws to a close, the potential for promotions and relegations adds a special ingredient, like putting melted cheese on your tax-free pasty.
Place the free £25 bet you get for joining bwin on this cheese-covered 12/1 quadruple and you could be dancing a merry jig with an extra £334 in the bank… and it was Connery.
We are avoiding the Premier League this week, for it is a dark and evil place of late, full of Wigan victories and imploding Tottenhams. Let’s settle down in the nice warm bosom of the Championship.
Bristol City to beat Barnsley @ 4/5
After getting a draw at home to promotion hopefuls West Ham in midweek, Bristol City will back themselves to go one better when they take on Barnsley at Ashton Gate to solidify their Championship status.
The Robins have lost just twice in their last ten games to haul themselves away from danger, and will hope to complete the job when they face one of the division’s most out of form sides.
Needing two points from their last two games to ensure safety and relegate Coventry and Portsmouth, Derek McInnes’ men will hope to have the job done by 5pm on Saturday, leaving them to relax on the final day next weekend.
The Tykes on the other hand are one of several teams who have nothing to play for, and it would be awfully strange if they were to improve on their run of 15 defeats in their last 21 games when there is no pressure to do so.
Hull City to beat Nottingham Forest @ 27/20
Something’s going on. I feel suspicious, but while no-one’s looking, I’ll take the chance and grab this 27/20 on a home win with both hands.
The stats suggest it should be evens, as Hull have won half of their home games this season, and Forest have lost half of their away games. But as with other games, the key factor is interest in the match.
Obviously everyone’s a professional, but while Forest are safe from relegation, the Tigers still have an outside shot (a very outside shot) of making the play-offs, and will be determined to add to the two home wins they have picked up so far in April.
The Yorkshire side also won the reverse fixture 1-0 back in October, so this pick gets the thumbs up from the boffins.
Sheffield Wednesday to beat Carlisle @ 31/50
It is an intense Sheffield battle at the top of League One. Well, not the very top – Charlton sewed that up last week – but United and Wednesday are in a vicious brawl to grab the other automatic promotion spot.
The Owls will try to ‘steel’ (see what I did there? Sheffield you see) second place from their fierce rivals in the final few games of the season, but in order to set that up, they really need to beat Carlisle at Hillsborough on Saturday and hope that the Blades drop points in their tricky tie at MK Dons.
Such is the necessity of a home win and the form of Dave Jones’ men on their own patch this season (15 wins and just 2 losses from 21), Wednesday are almost certain to put a huge dent in the Cumbrians’ play-off hopes.
Torquay to beat AFC Wimbledon @ 19/20
The final fixture in our fab four comes in the frantic push for places in League One next season, as the top four in League Two attempt to become a top three.
Swindon have the league title all but wrapped up, despite a couple of hiccups (in more than one sense) in recent games, and Shrewsbury look likely to join them.
But it is as tight as a mayoral candidate’s tax return form (allegedly, oh and ‘zing!’) between Torquay and Crawley as to who will nab third.
Both have been on impressive runs in the home straight, with the Gulls picking up seven wins in their last eleven.
It is on the road where they have been particularly successful as well, winning eight of their last eleven away games.
AFC Wimbledon are another team who are playing for nothing but prize money and pride, and so 19/20 on Martin Ling’s side keeping the heat on Crawley with a win at Kingsmeadow seems a generous and satisfying way to round off this week’s Saturday accumulator.
Okay, Moore was very good too, I’ll give you that.
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