Short of a complete catastrophe, Andy Murray is expected to go deep into the second week at the US Open this year, even if his 15/2 odds to win the tournament suggest he isn’t viewed as a likely victor.
The Scot starts his campaign against Robin Haase, a match he is a minuscule 1/50 to win, meaning you will have to dig a little deeper to find some value in this first-round clash.
Back 6-8 games in the first set @ 9/5
Once renowned as a sluggish starter in matches, Murray has addressed this problem at least in the first round of Grand Slams this season.
The Scot has claimed his first set at each of the three majors played so far by a scoreline of 6-1, making it worth a punt he gets on the board in style against Haase in New York.
Murray also began last year’s US Open in fine fashion, winning the first set 6-2 en route to a straight sets win over Michael Llodra.
Under 29.5 games played in the match @ 3/4
Although Murray has had an underwhelming season overall, failing to reach the finals of any major thus far, he has been impressive in the early rounds of the biggest tournaments.
None of the 27-year-old’s first three matches at Wimbledon ran over 29 games and the same was true of his opening two clashes at the Australian Open at the start of the year.
Murray hasn’t been pushed beyond 29 games in his first match at Flushing Meadows since 2011, when it took him 30 to beat Indian player Somdev Devvarman.
Haase to win less than 10.5 games in the match @ 17/20
The Dutch player has some record of pushing Murray to the limit in New York, going two sets up before eventually losing in the second round of the US Open in 2011.
However, the Scot ran through the final three sets of that match, conceding just six games, and beat Haase 6-3, 6-1, 6-3 on a hard court at the Australian Open in 2013 in their most recent clash.
Rather than a close encounter, it is likely Murray will dispatch his opponent, who has mostly spent his summer on clay courts in Europe rather than gearing up for the US Open.
Haase has played just two hard court matches in the US Open Series, reaching the second round of the Winston-Salem Open.