Neither Novak Djokovic nor Andy Murray have reigned supreme at Roland Garros, but that will change today with one of the pair guaranteed a maiden French Open crown.
The bookies’ minds are made up as to whom that will be – they’ve installed Djokovic as 33/100 favourite for the bout. It’s a price that has seen Murray squeezed all the way out to 5/2 and, given the resilient tennis he has played in Paris thus far, plenty will see the appeal in this punt.
However, the odds masters at bwin.com have lots more French Open final markets aside from the standard match betting fare, so many in fact it’d be foolish to focus solely on who is going to win the content.
Here are the three best, Murray-based, off-the-beaten-track bets for your punting perusal…
Murray to have over 3.5 breaks @ 3/4
The Scot has had 79 break points in the tournament thus far, winning 40 of them.
This averages out at around 13 opportunities to break serve per match of which approximately seven are converted.
Murray’s propensity for long matches (only two of his outings here have been settled in straight sets) coupled with the sheer quality of both protagonists ensures there’ll be ample opportunities to win break points, rendering this wager as good as free money.
Murray to win the first set @ 33/20
Not quite as cast iron this one, but there’s still a case to make based on the fact that the number two seed has claimed the spoils in the first set in two of the six clashes contested by the duo on the dirt, including the most recent at the Rome Masters.
Furthermore, only twice has the Djoker managed to beat Murray in straight sets in nine Grand Slam duels (both at the Australian Open), so the stats say the British number one will put a score on the board – there’s no reason why it can’t be in the first.
Total aces in the match under 11.5 @ 9/10
Having priced Djokovic up at 3/1 to record the highest number of aces next to impossibly short Murray at 3/10, the bookies are in no doubt as to who’s got the most powerful serve.
The Serbian superstar has just twice this tournament hit more than two aces, while his adversary today has hit at least three in every match he has played thus far.
On average, Murray has recorded eight aces per match in this tournament, while Djokovic’s mean is a measly 2.5. Combined, they average 10.5 (rounded up to 11), which still falls short of the 11.5 line set for total aces in the final.