The Deutsche Bank Championship was the scene of Adam Scott’s first career success on the PGA Tour and 10/1 looks decent value that he triumphs in the same tournament this year.
Scott has finished no worse than 15th in his last seven starts this season and it has often been the odd bad round on each occasion that has thwarted his challenge. A 75 in the third at The Barclays is a case in point, as he was a joint leader after 36 holes.
With the rough not overly taxing at TPC Boston, there is a strong possibility that players will find numerous greens in regulation at the Deutsche Bank, further promoting the widely-used golf phrase on local courses of “you drive for show and putt for dough”.
Thankfully for Scott, he sits fourth in the PGA Tour statistics for putting average, which is the average number of putts taken when a green is reached in regulation.
The lesser pressure on finding the fairway off the tee also aids Scott in the sense that his driving has become more erratic of late.
Starting at the Players Championship and ending at the British Open, the Australian had a driving accuracy of over 60 per cent in five straight tournaments.
In each of his three events since, Scott has dipped below this mark.
Rory McIlroy’s form dipped at The Barclays as his run of three successive victories ended with a tied 22nd finish.
He is still the clear 4/1 favourite in the Deutsche Bank Championship betting, but his prospects could largely revolve around the conditions in Boston.
The world number one tends to be at his best when conditions are softer, especially when he bombs tee shots down the fairway further than the majority of other players.
He has won at the course previously in 2012, but with the early weather forecast looking as if conditions will be on the firmer side, with rain expected in the later rounds, McIlroy may have to settle for a top-five result.