Kick-off: 1730, 27/02/2021
Stadium: Elland Road
TV: Sky Sports
Leeds are on course for a top-half finish in their first season back in the Premier League and have the chance to leapfrog Aston Villa on Saturday.
Tuesday’s 3-0 win against Southampton was a fourth win in seven games and Marcelo Bielsa’s side have only drawn two games this season, with Villa only sharing the points on three occasions.
That suggests there will be a winner at Elland Road and the hosts are our pick at 6/5 for our opening Leeds vs Aston Villa prediction.
A Look At Leeds United’s Betting Odds
Leeds climbed back up to 10th thanks to a dominant second half against Southampton and are now above Arsenal and just a point behind Tottenham.
Patrick Bamford broke the deadlock two minutes into the second half and Stuart Dallas doubled the lead before the impressive Raphinha’s free-kick sealed the win.
It was a similar story when Leeds faced Villa in October, with Bamford opening the scoring early in the second half and going on to complete his hat-trick in a 3-0 victory.
Leeds certainly perform better in the second half of matches. Only four teams have a worse first-half record than Leeds, who have only been ahead five times at the break and scored 17 times in that time compared to 26 goals conceded.
Those goal stats are reversed in the second half though, with Leeds winning the second 45 minutes on 11 occasions, so they will fancy their chances if they make it to the break on level terms.
Looking at the Leeds vs Aston Villa odds, we like Draw HT/Leeds FT which can be backed at 19/4.
Last Leeds line-up: Meslier, Ayling, Cooper, Llorente, Struijk, Dallas, Harrison, Klich, Bamford, Roberts, Raphinha.
A Look At Aston Villa’s Betting Odds
Villa had to make do without Jack Grealish at home against Leicester last weekend and paid the price as they slipped to a 2-1 defeat.
Quickfire first-half goals from James Maddison and Harvey Barnes put the Foxes in control and Villa rarely threatened an equaliser after Bertrand Traore pulled a goal back.
Grealish is sidelined with a shin problem and Villa too often lacked the quality, initiative and drive to recover without him.
Their problems ran deeper than their absent skipper, though, with Ross Barkley again underwhelming, and Dean Smith’s side have now won just three of their last 10 top-flight games to further dent their European hopes.
Bamford’s hat-trick against Villa in October has helped him to 13 goals this season, with only Mo Salah and Bruno Fernandes ahead of him in the top scorers list.
For our final Leeds vs Aston Villa prediction, let’s go for Bamford to score first in a 2-0 win at 33/1.
Last Villa line-up: Martinez, Konsa, Mings, Targett, Elmohamady, Luiz, McGinn, Barkley, El Ghazi, Watkins, Traore.
LEEDS 3-0 Southampton – Patrick Bamford, Stuart Dallas, Raphinha
ASTON VILLA 1-2 Leicester – Bertrand Traore
Head-to-head: Villa 0-3 Leeds, Leeds 1-1 Villa, Villa 2-3 Leeds, Villa 1-0 Leeds, Leeds 1-1 Villa, Villa 1-1 Leeds, Leeds 2-0 Villa
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