Saturday, December 17th
Chievo v Cagliari (5.00 pm)
Home win: 11/10 Draw: 21/10 Away win: 53/20
Key stat: Cagliari are far stronger away from home this season, with three wins in the bag already.
Betting tip: Chievo, on the other hand, have been rather poor at home, so chances are the Sardinian side will come away with all three points, an eventuality priced at 53/20.
AC Milan v Siena (7.45 pm)
Home win: 27/100 Draw: 4/1 Away win: 11/1
Key stat: Tipping Zlatan Ibrahimovic is a bit too easy, but his eight goals at home should not be ignored. Otherwise, keep an eye on Siena’s brave brand of football. The visitors have netted six in their last two away games.
Betting tip: Milan’s defence has been rather creaky of late, so bet on Siena to net at least once at 21/20.
Fiorentina v Atalanta (7.45 pm)
Home win: 19/20 Draw: 23/10 Away win: 29/10
Key stat: Atalanta have only failed to net once on the road.
Betting tip: Argentinian pair Maxi Moralez and German Denis will cause the Viola all kinds of trouble, especially against the defence responsible for Yuto Nagatomo’s comedy goal. The Nerazzurri are 53/100 to score.
Sunday, December 18th
Catania v Palermo (2.00 pm)
Home win: 11/10 Draw: 11/5 Away win: 51/20
Key stat: The Sicilian derby is often a high-scoring, one-sided encounter. Of the last eight goals scored in meetings between these two, seven have come in the second half.
Betting tip: Over 2.5 goals in the second half at 4/1 is a sure-fire bet.
Cesena v Inter (2.00 pm)
Home win: 33/10 Draw: 47/20 Away win: 17/20
Key stat: Inter have won their last two away games 1-0 and have really turned a corner recently, with 12 points out of a possible 15. Little by little, they have learned to win the ugly way.
Betting tip: Despite a bit of a struggle, Claudio Ranieri’s side should pip their opponents, so bet on them to triumph despite a 1-0 handicap in Cesena’s favour, which is priced at 5/2.
Genoa v Bologna (2.00 pm)
Home win: 83/100 Draw: 23/10 Away win: 7/2
Key stat: Marco di Vaio has frequently been decisive for Bologna, with three goals in his last four matches.
Betting tip: Bet on the Italian striker to make a difference, so go for the 2/1 on him scoring at any time.
Juventus v Novara (2.00 pm)
Home win: 11/50 Draw: 19/4 Away win: 12/1
Key stat: Juventus have failed to net in the first half in their last four games.
Betting tip: Novara have proved time and time again that underestimating them will cost you three points and possibly your job as well, a fact Giampiero Gasperini learnt the hard way. At 37/20, expect Novara to keep Juve at bay during the half.
Parma v Lecce (2.00 pm)
Home win: 7/10 Draw: 12/5 Away win: 43/10
Key stat: Serse Cosmi seems to have reinvigorated Lecce. Parma have lost three times at home this season, while both of Lecce’s wins thus far have come on the road.
Betting tip: Lecce to come away with all three points, priced at 43/10.
Lazio v Udinese (7.45 pm)
Home win: 6/5 Draw: 11/5 Away win: 23/10
Key stat: With one goal in their last five away matches, Udinese don’t look the biggest threat up front, while Lazio come in to the game on the back of three wins on the trot.
Betting tip: At 5/2, bet on Lazio to win to nil. Otherwise, Miroslav Klose is often decisive, hence it might be worth backing him to round off the scoring at 9/2, like he did against Lecce, Cesena and Fiorentina.
Napoli v Roma (7.45 pm)
Home win: 17/20 Draw: 47/20 Away win: 33/10
Key stat: Far too many draws for Napoli this season have seen the club slip down to nine points behind Juventus.
Betting tip: At 47/20, bet on a convalescent Roma side to snatch a draw at a ground where they have won three times since 2005.
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