With three wins from their last four Serie A games, Inter appear to be slowly turning the corner after a disastrous start to the campaign.
A single place above the relegation zone after nine games, victories against Cagliari, Siena and Fiorentina have moved Inter into 13th.
Incredibly, the Nerazzurri could move into sixth should they win their game in hand against Genoa this evening, and they are favourites to do so at 6/5 in bwin’s 3Way football betting market.
However, Inter boss Claudio Ranieri has played down his side’s recovery and insists there is much work to be done before the 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010 Serie A winners are moulded into a “cohesive unit” rather than a collection of talented individuals.
Indeed, in a week of similes, Ranieri has one of his own when it comes to Inter’s current position.
While perhaps not as memorable as the French official’s likening of David Cameron’s negotiating position at the recent EU summit to “a man who comes to a wife–swapping party without his wife”, it is nevertheless worth repeating.
“This year we’re not on the motorway,” Ranieri explained.
“We’re on a winding country road and we have to be careful.”
Clearly, the inference is that far from cruising along in top gear, Inter are still in second or third and struggling to go any faster.
To continue this analogy, Genoa, their next opponents, represent something of an oil slick on a slip road.
Should Inter avoid the slick and win, then they will be able to change up a gear and start thinking about finishing in a European qualification spot.
Spin and lose, and the Nerazzurri may find themselves meandering along the scenic route for some time to come.
Inter’s recent record against Genoa suggests they have a good chance of picking up all three points, even if they are playing away from home.
Unbeaten in nine Serie A games against Genoa since a 2-1 defeat at Stadio Luigi Ferraris in 1994, Inter have also won four of the last five meetings between the two teams.
Indeed, Inter have put five past the Rossoblu twice in the last two years, while Genoa have not scored in five of the last seven Serie A clashes with Ranieri’s men.
Goals have not been a problem for Inter in away games this season either, with more goals scored on average than any other team on their travels save for Lazio and AC Milan.
This points to an away win with over 2.5 goals, with this outcome priced at a tempting 29/10.
However, Inter have not lost three of their away fixtures in Serie A for nothing, with their defence proving more leaky than their attack is prolific.
And with Genoa losing just once at home in Serie A this season and claiming the scalp of Roma in October, there could yet be value in a draw (9/4) or home win (9/4) in bwin’s 3Way football betting market.
While Inter are still not firing on all cylinders, their record in front of goal means a Genoa win remains unlikely and the draw therefore looks the best option, with a successful £25 free bet on this outcome set to return £81.25.
The free bet is available to new customers who sign up for a bwin account.
Finally, with Inter boasting the best first-half away record in Serie A but only the 13th-best record in the second half, one final bet to consider could be on an Inter win/draw in the half time/full time market at odds of 27/2.
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