Serie A’s top two teams meet on Saturday (April 2nd) with AC Milan taking on arch enemies Inter Milan at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
The match is a home game for the Rossoneri, who sit two points clear of their city rivals in the Serie A table.
This is crucial as nine of the last 12 Milan derbies have been won by the home team, underlying the crucial importance of partisan support.
A successful £10 bet on Milan to beat Inter at bwin would return £25.
Analysis of Milan’s performances this season also underlines the decisive nature of home advantage.
While Massimiliano Allegri’s men have scored an average of 1.3 goals away from home in the league this season, they have averaged 2.1 goals at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Defensively, there is no difference between Milan’s home and away record, with an average of 0.7 goals a game conceded regardless of the stadium they play in.
With this in mind, a 2-1 win for Milan could be a good bet at 45/4.
Having said this, Inter are in the better form of the two teams.
In first place since the 11th round of matches, Milan are on a run of four league wins in the last six, although they lost their last match to mid-table Palermo.
Inter, meanwhile, have won five of their last six since losing to Juventus on February 13th.
They also have a striker very much in form, with Samuel Eto’o having scored four times in his last four league matches.
The Cameroonian international is priced at 7/2 to score the first goal of the match and is a similar price to score the opener.
But with Inter only averaging 1.2 goals a game away from home, the former Barcelona forward’s efforts may ultimately be in vain.
A £10 stake on Samuel Eto’o to score for Inter against AC Milan would return £45. New customers can register here to receive a £25 free bet.