If Brentford are to bounce Middlesbrough from the Championship play-offs then they have a heap of statistics and trends to make light of.
The Bees have failed to gain promotion thorough the play-offs in a sobering seven previous bites at the cherry, most recently in 2012/13.
Mark Warbuton’s side haven’t so much as drawn with the Teessiders in their last five meetings dating back to 1964, losing those fixtures by an aggregate of 12-1.
Two of those defeats came this season, with Boro giving them a 4-0 Riverside pasting before completing a win-to-nil double at Griffin Park later in the piece.
Brentford have spent just two of the last 39 matchdays of the Championship campaign stationed above Middlesbrough in the table.
In football and particularly football betting such an overwhelmingly one-sided ledger can mean only on thing.
Namely, that the exact opposite of what should, by rights, happen, will undoubtedly transpire over the two legs of this play-off semi-final.
‘Sod’s Law’, in other words, a powerful punting phenomenon that was recently harnessed to profitable effect when news.bwin.com readers were advised to tuck in to generous odds about victory for a badly out of form West Brom at Crystal Palace.
Middlesbrough are 11/20 to qualify at Brentford’s expense, with the west London art deco enclave 27/20 underdogs to book themselves a ticket to the richest game in football.
Sign up for a new account at bwin.com for a £30 free bet that turns a £40 no-risk profit of the Londoners dispatch Aitor Karanka’s men from the knockouts.
There are signs too that Warburton’s charges are entering the tie in the better spirits, having snapped a five-game winless streak with consecutive shutout successes in their last two Championship outings.
Middlesbrough’s final brace of fixtures, by contrast, saw them pick up a single point and that a damp squib draw against Brighton on home territory.
Brentford are 8/5 to eke out a first-leg advantage, with the draw 9/4 and an away win priced up at 37/20.