Dortmund won the romantics’ Champions League last term with their unabashed attacking football and might be expected to give Arsenal their sternest examination of the season so far, but their poor away form gives the Gunners every hope of justifying narrow 6/4 favouritism in Group F.
The visitors are 33/20 to inflict the a third defeat in four games against German opposition upon the north London club, while the draw can be invested in at odds of 13/5.
Arsenal have won 10 of their last 11 matches in the Premier League and Champions League.
The Gunners ended last season on an irrepressible run of nine wins and two draws and their increasingly anomalous-looking opening day reverse to Aston Villa aside they have only begun to burn more brightly this term.
Since that unexpected loss they’ve won five consecutive outings at the Emirates for the loss of just two goals, including a brace of 2-0 victories on Champions League nights against Fenerbahce and Napoli.
Dortmund have now won just two of their last eight away games after normal time.
The Champions League silver-medallists have failed to score more than a single goal in normal time on their previous four road trips, with extra-time needed to put two past 2. Bundesliga side 1860 Munich.
That series of misbegotten holidays included a 2-1 loss to the Napoli side vanquished so easily by Arsenal on matchday two, with Jurgen Klopp incurring a touchline ban at Stadio San Paolo that rules him out festivities at the Emirates.
It’s worth noting too that even on their run to last season’s Champions League final Klopp’s men won just one of their six away games.
Die Schwarzgelben failed to win 70 per cent of their matches without the injured Ilkay Gundogan last term.
A partial explanation for Dortmund’s away failings in 2013/14 could be that their already keenly attacking style of play is particularly vulnerable in the injured absence of lynchpin holding midfielder Ilkay Gundogan and defender Lukasz Piszczek.
The loss of Gundogan in particular was always going to be a hammer blow given his side won 62 per cent of games he started in 2012/13, but only 30 per cent of those in which he was on the bench or in the stands.