After spending the entire season seemingly engaged in a two-way battle for the title with Chelsea, Manchester City will be somewhat disconcerted to find themselves fourth in the Premier League.
Arsenal and Manchester United’s weekend victories have seen both leapfrog the floundering Citizens, who have dropped points in six of their past 10 league outings.
Next up is a challenging trip to Crystal Palace, who have won three of their past four and are 4/1 to best the Sky Blues, themselves priced at 67/100 to claim three points.
City are on a six-game winning streak against the Eagles in all competitions, but the fact they’ve just won of their past five road matches in the league casts enough doubt to make it wise to avoid them in the betting.
Instead, the smart bet is to back either side to win by exactly one goal at 29/20.
New bwin customers can claim a £30 free bet, which would deliver a tidy £43.50 profit if used to back a one-goal win and the wager lands.
Alan Pardew’s first game in charge of the Eagles was a 4-0 FA Cup win over Dover, but since then 11 of the 12 matches of his tenure have been settled by just one goal.
Palace have shown resilience even against the Premier League’s best this season, losing by just one goal in home games against Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea.
All of those defeats came via a 2-1 scoreline, making the 15/2 that City win with that correct score a tempting proposition for those willing to chance their arm on their dodgy away form.
It’s also worth noting that City haven’t lost by more than one goal in the league since April 2013, so if you fancy a Palace win, there’s no value in backing it to be a thrashing.
Furthermore, neither side has drawn any of their past six Premier League matches. It all adds up to one side celebrating a narrow win come full time at Selhurst Park.