Leaders Chelsea have come back to the Premier League field in a big way since Christmas, dropping points in five of their last twelve top-flight matches after doing so just four times in the previous 18.
With Manchester City failing to win more times than not during that run, Arsenal have been the main beneficiaries of Chelsea’s sluggishness, and are presently on a six-game streak of victories in the division, with only three points dropped from the last 30 available dating back to New Year’s Day.
It’s a long shot, as Jose Mourinho’s men are still seven points clear of the Gunners and have a game in hand with only eight weeks left in the campaign, but 25/1 about Arsene Wenger’s side taking their first title since 2004 is a punt worth having.
The past two league-winning insurgencies, when a team came from behind late in the season to take the title, were both pulled off by current holders City.
In each of those triumphs (last term and in 2011/12) they won at least their final five Premier League matches of the campaign, six during their most recent victory.
Such a run isn’t quite beyond Arsenal, who have Chelsea (H), Hull (A), Swansea (H), Manchester United (A), Sunderland (H), and West Brom (H).
The Gunners have emerged victorious from 21 of their past 26 games all told, and have lost just once at the Emirates in the Premier League since the opening day of last season, so they’ll expect to win every home match bar the visit of the leaders, and are a top price of 11/13 with bwin to beat fifth-place Liverpool this weekend.
Wenger has never bested a Mourinho team during his career, but Chelsea have been much worse on the road than at home this term, dropping 14 points away from Stamford Bridge compared to just six at their west London headquarters.
At the very least Arsenal will hope to hold them, as they did last term in north London, and the 1/19 title favourites are faced with a few sticky wickets themselves, including Liverpool away and Man Utd at home.
With Aaron Ramsey back and firing for club and country, plus the imminent return of Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, who was in useful form before succumbing to injury at Old Trafford last month, Wenger has practically a full squad at his disposal over the coming weeks. It could be now or never for the Frenchman.