Memories of Aston Villa’s most wretched form are still painfully fresh, while West Brom haven beaten top-flight opposition twice in 14 attempts this season.
As a result even the most die-hard Villans and Throstles could be forgiven shirking the rubber stamp of financially endorsing their side’s chances of victory.
Aston Villa are 9/5 favourites, with their visitors 37/20 to earn a place in the FA Cup semi-finals on their rivals’ patch, while a stalemate can be backed at odds of 2/1.
Luckily there’s a way for more pragmatic partisans to profit from the fixture without having to nail their greenbacks to the mast.
Namely by backing any team to win by exactly one-goal’s difference at 5/4, a wager for which there is plenty of evidence from the formbook.
Sign up for a new account with the boys in black and gold at bwin.com and receive a £30 free bet that turns a £37.50 profit if history repeats itself.
In fact, not just the adversaries’ Tuesday night tussle but their last three derby clashes have been decided by a single goal – two going to Villa and one to the Baggies.
The fact that the preceding three renewals to them were all drawn further emphasises the weighty history of fine margins in a fixture that has either been decided by a single goal or drawn in 17-straight editions going back to 2002.
Despite that spin down memory lane a punt on the suggested wager is very much a bet for the zeitgeist, with both sides devotees of such results this term.
All nine of Aston Villa’s wins across all competitions have come by the finest of lines, while five of West Brom’s seven top-flight victories have come by a commensurate distance.
Moreover the Villans’ abjectness has largely been down to their toothless attack rather than a porous defence for some time – seven of their last ten defeats would also have rewarded backers of ‘any team to win by exactly one goal’.