On the cusp of the new La Liga campaign Real Madrid and Sevilla do battle at the Cardiff City Stadium for the right to guild their 2013/14 campaigns with one more pot’s-worth of glory.
As befits the winners of the Champions League, Los Blancos are 11/25 favourites for victory, with the Costa del Sol side 23/4 and a draw after 90 minutes 13/4.
Yet, given Champions League and Europa League winners have taken five of the last ten renewals each, the Super Cup is clearly no respecter of status, so the odds don’t quite seem to match up.
With that in mind, news.bwin.com/en/ have dusted down the annals to find paths to profit that have proven more reliable in the past.
Seven of the last ten Super Cups have featured a strike between 75 minutes and full time.
Given eight of Real’s ten most recent competitive outings have seen Los Merengues or their opponents ring the alarm inside the final 15 minutes, the 4/5 about their duel with Sevilla following suit seems alluring.
Six of the last ten finals have had a 1-0 half-time score-line.
There’s no flies on the bwin odds boffins here, with the boys in black and gold making the 1-0 correct score at the interval their 27/10 favourite in the market.
Three of the last five renewals resolved in normal time were won by a two-goal margin.
One outfit has tended to end up on top with a cushion come the final reckoning, with one of the remaining fixtures in that quintet a 4-1 Atletico Madrid win over Chelsea.
It’s 14/5 that the 2014 edition follows in the recent footsteps of Barcelona v Porto, Atleti v Internazionale and AC Milan v Sevilla, with one side ending up winners by two clear strikes.