Although they’ve gilded their squad with an array of glittering signings from the Gareth Bale fund, Tottenham are a far less coherent attacking unit than last term and scraping past Norwich 1-0 at odds of 13/2 should be the limit of their capabilities.
Spurs are 21/50 to score their third home win in all competitions this term, with the East Anglians 27/4 for victory and the stalemate 16/5.
The return of ex-Spur Chris Hughton’s Norwich to White Hart Lane will have many Lilywhites rubbing their hands together with glee due to the Canaries’ bleak away record.
A win at the Etihad on the final day of last season may have done much to wipe away memories of a campaign which yielded just two away wins (as few as anyone in the division), but their August trip to Hull will have brought the bad feelings flooding back.
The Canaries had a man advantage for more than an hour at the KC Stadium yet failed to threaten the Tigers’ newly-promoted defence.
However, Tottenham’s goal-threat appears to be suffering in the absence of Bale, who either scored or set up 25 of their 66 league goals in 2012/13.
Don’t be fooled by home and away Europa League flayings of Dinamo Tbilisi, Spurs have been struggling to assert their superiority in the goal stakes domestically, earning both their wins via a solitary strike from the penalty spot.
That’s in spite of topping the Premier League’s shot charts with 42 after the first three games, though the fact that 27 of those were high or wide of the mark may go some way to explaining the lack of reward for their efforts.
Scoring at home was relatively problematic for the Lilywhites even when their Bale love affair was still in full swing.
They notched eight more times away than at home in the league last term and finished ninth in the home scoring charts, indicating that even with the Welshman in the side they struggled to surmount the opposition bus-parking reserved for sides of their status.
With this in mind the price of 11/10 about there being under 2.5 goals – as there have been in the sides’ last four league meetings – looks too good to be true.
Nonetheless, with Norwich’s poor form on the road showing no sign of abating Spurs are fancied to find a way to nick a win by the slenderest possible margin, having scored at least once in all five of their clashes with the Canaries since their return to the top table in 2011/12.