Tottenham and Everton have been so closely matched in recent years that they’d be considered ‘touching ball’ in snooker, with 456 and 451 Premier League points respectively since the start of 2007/08, as previously reported on these pages earlier this week.
However, the Lilywhites, who are going through a shocking run, losing four of their past five at White Hart Lane in the top flight, haven’t been beaten at home in their last six matches against the Toffees.
They bested Roberto Martinez’s men last season during the troubled rein of Tim Sherwood as caretaker boss, after Andre Villas-Boas was harshly fired early in the campaign, so the north Londoners’ current travails shouldn’t have a great bearing on the result.
Spurs have triumphed in four of their last six against Everton on the homestead, including a 2-0 League Cup victory five years ago, and four of those games featured two goals or less, suggesting the hosts to win a match of under 2.5 goals at 19/4 with bwin.com is the pick of the bets.
Mauricio Pochettino’s side may have gone over 2.5 in four of their past five fixtures, but each of those results were cagey 2-1 wins, hardly vaulting the goal line, and they only beat Partizan 1-0 at home in the Europa League midweek.
Furthermore, six of Everton’s last 11 games have produced two or fewer, with four of the other five only seeing one more each, following a flood of goal-filled Toffees matches at the start of the campaign, so neither of these teams seem in particularly buccaneering moods.
In terms of who’ll get the goals (that can only be for the hosts within this betting framework), Harry Kane looks as likely as anyone at 6/1 to bag the opener.
The England Under-21 has notched ten times for Spurs this term, of which a couple broke the deadlock, and was given over an hour of rest during the week before replacing the ineffective Roberto Soldado.