A quick glance at Norwich’s form over the last six games could lead punters to think that the Canaries, apparently content with their points total, have finished the season early and that in-form Everton are in line for an Easter gift of three points on Saturday.
While the Toffees have picked up 11 points from their last six games despite having to play Swansea, Liverpool and Arsenal away and Tottenham at home during this run, Paul Lambert’s side have lost four of their last six.
Given this, it shouldn’t come as too much of a surprise that Everton are 29/20 favourites to win Saturday’s encounter despite being the away team and boasting only a narrow four-point advantage over the Canaries in the Premier League table.
But a closer look at Norwich’s record reveals that their home form in particular is not as bad as it would first appear.
Everton have gone into the half time interval level with the opposition in nine of their 15 away games in the league – more than any other team save Manchester City.
Trips to Stoke, Newcastle and Fulham were always going to be tough, a draw at home to Wigan looks like a point gained rather than two lost given the Latics’ recent results and the visit of Manchester United to Carrow Road was never likely to bear much fruit, even if the Canaries pushed the defending champions to the limit.
With this in mind, the game actually looks a hard one to call and a Norwich win (37/20) or draw (11/5) should not be discounted.
Indeed, the teams proved evenly matched when they met at Goodison Park earlier in the season in a game which finished 1-1.
A repeat hardly looks out of the question given Everton have drawn three of their last five league away games by this scoreline and this option is available at odds of 19/4.
However, rather than bet on the full time score, a punt on the result at half time could offer the best chance of success.
The draw is again the play as Everton have gone into the half time interval level with the opposition in nine of their 15 away games in the league – more than any other team save Manchester City.
There is recent precedent for this, too, with Everton drawing five of their last seven away games at half time.
At odds of 21/20, a draw at half time therefore looks a good shout, and at that price punters using their £25 free bet for joining bwin stand to win £51.25 if the tip proves successful.
Recommended bet: Norwich and Everton to be drawing at half time @ 21/20
Outside punt: Norwich and Everton to draw 1-1 @ 19/4
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