Alright, alright, the big launch last week didn’t go exactly to plan. In fact, last week was that disappointing, I feel so sheepish about coming back here I nearly took a leaf out of Peter Odemwingie’s book and just turned up pretending everything is going to plan.
Alas, I don’t have anybody ‘advising me badly’, so I have to face the music. Only four of our six teams scored, but lessons have been learned: namely don’t ever trust an Alex McLeish team to show any attacking prowess whatsoever. I mean, I knew that already, but it can be useful to be reminded just how useless Big ‘Eck really is.
I’m convinced this weekend will be different, though, and this 3/1 treble can get SC’s BTTS (I am determined to make that stick) up and running with a nice little win.
Wigan Athletic v Southampton @ 3/5
A real relegation battle takes place at the DW Stadium when Wigan Athletic host Southampton, and it is a match that promises goals at both ends of the pitch.
No side has seen more goals in the matches on their travels than Southampton (44) and it is easy to see why: the Saints have kept just one clean sheet on the road all season, while failing to score just twice.
It means that nine of their 12 away games have seen both teams score – as many as anybody in the division – and with five of their last seven seeing each team find the net, Saints’ trip to Wigan promises more of the same.
Eight of the Latics’ 12 matches at the DW have seen both defences breached, including each of the five fixtures they have played against the teams in the bottom half of the table.
And with games at Wigan averaging 3.33 goals per match, it seems likely that both teams are going to help maintain that average.
Peterborough v Burnley @ 53/100
When it comes to Both Teams to Score, Peterborough United are like manna sent from heaven, especially when playing at London Road, and we have to put them in the first opportunity we have when Burnley go there on Saturday.
Teams who score loads of goals but can’t defend for toffee are our sort of teams in BTTS, and nobody has done that quite like Posh over recent years.
Darren Ferguson sets up his teams to attack, which they do well, but as just three clean sheets and 52 goals conceded so far this year shows, they can’t defend and goals at both ends are a regular feature in Posh’s games.
It has happened in 12 of their last 15 league matches, and 11 times in 14 games at London Road.
Opponents Burnley have kept just three clean sheets on their travels all year and eight of their 14 games on the road have seen both teams hit the net.
MK Dons v Bournemouth @ 13/20
Two promotion-chasing teams face off in League One on Saturday when MK Dons host Bournemouth at stadium:mk and this looks all the world to be a match where each side will be celebrating at least one goal.
For both teams, that has been happening all season. No side has been involved in more matches where both teams scored than Bournemouth, with 20 of the Cherries’ 29 games seeing each side hit the net, including eight of their last ten away games.
MK Dons are catching up, though, because after a good run of clean sheets, Karl Robinson has seen his side score and concede in eight of their last nine games in League One, as well as in a 4-2 win over QPR in the FA Cup, so this looks like a tasty one to make up our treble.