Sunday 30/08/15, Liberty Stadium, 4pm
Odds: Swansea: 9/4, Manchester United: 6/5, The Draw: 11/5
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Last three meetings:
Swansea 2-1 Man Utd
Man Utd 1-2 Swansea
Man Utd 2-0 Swansea
Form: Swansea: DWDW, Man Utd: WWWDW
Man Utd: Phil Jones
Man Utd: None
Win, Lose or Draw?
Short on goals against anyone who isn’t Club Brugge, Man Utd won’t be relishing their trip to Swansea.
The Red Devils have lost to this adversary in three of their last four meetings, all by the same 2-1 scoreline and should their travails in the box continue, they can expect similar treatment here.
Seven points from three domestic outings is good going, but two goals registered across those games (one of which came via the boot of Tottenham right-back Kyle Walker) isn’t.
Keeping clean sheets has been their primary Premier League focus so far. It’s a plan that’s worked perfectly, with no top-tier goals leaked in their three matches.
But should they continue to starve the frontline in favour of keeping things tight at the back, one concession could spell disaster.
Swansea haven’t failed to find the net in four this term, while only once since their January shellacking at the hands of Chelsea have they failed to bag in front of the faithful.
This 5-0 defeat was just one of three matches across the whole of last term in which they failed to register at the Liberty and they’ve only been unable to breach the Red Devils’ backline once since the start of the 2012/13 edition.
All things considered, it looks like they’re going to score, which spells terrible news for the visitors.
United’s toils in the final third are a little more deep-seated than they appear. They’ve rustled a divisional rival’s net just five times since hammering Manchester City 4-2 nine games ago and have scored multiple goals in a game just once since this heavy win.
Should these shortcomings resurface, and the only signifier that they won’t is a pounding doled out to a grossly inferior outfit in midweek, Swansea can add another United scalp to their growing collection.
Recommended bet: Swansea to win @ 9/4
With the basis of our match-betting selection formed on the premise that United can’t score goals, punters must err on the side of unders here.
Just three of their eight Premier League skirmishes have fallen shy of the 2.5-goal mark, but the Red Devils haven’t played a league game in which the net has bulged three times or more since last May.
In total, five under 2.5-goal fixtures have been fulfilled since their 2-1 win at Crystal Palace.
Scoring en masse hasn’t been a speciality of Swansea either this season, with two of their three league matches unable to cross the mark.
Recommended bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 3/4
Who’s going to score?
Bafetimbi Gomis is revelling in the void vacated by Wilfried Bony and has either broken the deadlock or struck last in each of the Swans’ three league matches thus far.
He has shared the scoring burden with Andre Ayew and given the formidability of United’s rearguard, it’ll take one of these two form men to break them down here.
As you’d expect, these two are located towards the short end of the goalscorer market, so for those looking for a longer odds alternative, there are worse bets than Ki Sung-yeung.
The South Korean returned from injury during the Capital One Cup defeat of York in midweek and bagged home and away against this adversary last season.
He’s 6/1 to register at any point here, but we’re advising punters to stick with the Swansea sharpshooters.
Recommended bet: Bafetimbi Gomis to score first @ 11/2
What else should I be betting on?
In each of the three games where Swansea have scored two against United, they’ve registered on either side of the interval.
This also applies to their two fixtures this term where they’ve bagged a brace, against Chelsea and Newcastle, while their final two-goal salvo on their own patch last term also complies with the trend.
Recommended bet: Swansea to score same number of goals in each half @ 23/20