Arsenal odds of 3/4 to beat Swansea at the Liberty Stadium look short given the Swans’ impressive home record, with the Welsh side to avoid defeat looking like a value bet at 21/20.
Brendan Rodgers’ men have only lost once in the league this season, with Manchester United emerging as narrow 1-0 winners back in November.
With four wins and five draws from their remaining nine games in Wales, Swansea sit eighth in the home league table.
However, this perhaps underplays their strength at the Liberty Stadium, with their defensive record highlighting how difficult they are to beat on their own patch.
Swansea have kept six clean sheets in their ten home league games and no away team has scored more than once at the Liberty Stadium this season.
Only four goals have been conceded by the Swans at their own ground, making theirs the joint-best home defence along with league leaders Manchester City.
To further underline the scale of the task facing Arsenal on Sunday, Swansea have kept six clean sheets in their ten home league games and no away team has scored more than once at the Liberty Stadium this season.
And it is not only Swansea’s home record which weighs against the Gunners as only once in the last eight games have Arsene Wenger’s men scored more than a single goal.
They have also conceded two more goals than they have scored on their travels.
As such, an Arsenal win at the Liberty Stadium is far less likely than the odds in bwin’s 3Way football betting market suggest.
This opens up the possibility of a Swansea win at 7/2 or the draw at 13/5.
Alternatively, punters could bet on a home win or a draw in bwin’s double chance market, with this option available at attractive odds of 21/20.
A successful £25 free bet on Swansea to avoid defeat against the Gunners is set to return £51.25.
Away from the final result, the combination of Swansea’s defensive solidity at home and Arsenal’s recent struggles in front of goal means a bet on the Gunners to score fewer than 1.5 goals at 22/25 looks like a good option.
Similarly, with Swansea hardly prolific themselves at the Liberty Stadium – they have scored 12 times in ten games – under 2.5 combined goals at 17/20 is one final bet worth taking into consideration.
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