You can back Stoke at 11/10 to either win or draw when Manchester City visit the Britannia, a ridiculously-big price considering each side’s current form and the Premier League champions’ record at the windy Potteries ground.
It’s somewhat remarkable that City have failed to win in the Premier League at Stoke, with Mark Hughes continuing former gaffer Tony Pulis’ good work last term when overseeing a 0-0 draw.
Pulis’ last three top-flight home clashes against the blue half of Manchester in charge of the Potters all produced 1-1 draws, a correct scoreline that can be backed at indicatively-short 23/4 odds at bwin.com.
However, given the pair’s respective form at present, punting on a repeat of the win Stoke pinched in Pulis’ first Premier League tussle with the Citizens at the Britannia might be the best way forward at 4/1.
Hughes’ football bruisers are unbeaten in four on their own patch all told, winning three of those fixtures and only failing to land the spoils in a 1-1 draw with Manchester United.
Extend that run a little further and it’s four wins in six all-competition fixtures in front of the faithful, which includes a 3-2 victory over Arsenal that saw Stoke go in 3-0 up at half time.
Conversely, Manchester City are winless in their last five fixtures, with consecutive 1-1 draws posted on the road.
They’ve been dreadful at home, going down 2-0 to Arsenal and then Middlesbrough in recent weeks, before grasping a point at the death against Hull last time out at the Etihad, having been behind to the relegation threatened Tigers for over an hour.
Their away form has been pretty ropey all season, with one win managed on the road against the sides currently sitting in the top half of the table, which includes the tenth-placed Potters.
A split-stake strategy is advised for this fixture, so hedge your side bets around the 1-1 draw at 23/4 and a Stoke win at 4/1, leaving the bulk of your bankroll for the high-value 11/10 double-chance wager.