Despite only notching once in his last four appearances, of which three were starts, Diego Costa is just about odds-against at 11/10 to get on the scoresheet when Chelsea host Arsenal.
The visitors have a pair of players in markedly better goalscoring form than the Spain centre-forward, with both at least twice the price.
Danny Welbeck booted home a hat-trick last time out in the Champions League against Galatasaray, who admittedly were awful.
Arsenal’s ex-Manchester United favourite also served notice of his improved finishing with both goals in England’s 2-0 Euro 2016 qualifying win away to Switzerland, and opened his account for his new side at Aston Vila in the Premier League recently.
However, while nobody should be put off getting onboard the 9/4 odds about Welbeck bagging at the Bridge, the Gunners’ Chilean pace-merchant Alexis Sanchez’s form holds up to even closer scrutiny.
The former Barcelona trickster, available at 5/2 for an anytime goal, has fired five in his last seven appearances under Arsene Wenger, which makes him the standout in-form forward in this fixture.
Furthermore, each of Alexis’ goal have come in separate games, rewarding anytime-scorer followers over a number of weeks rather than short, sharp bursts.
The spread of the 25-year-old’s striking prowess is telling in another way.
Welbeck has only managed to make the scoresheet for Arsenal against a waning Villa outfit already 1-0 down early on, as well as the woeful Turks.
Alexis, on the other hand, grabbed the goal that looked to have beaten champions Manchester City at the Emirates, before Martin Demichelis’ equaliser seven minutes from time.
On the important striking metrics, Alexis trumps his rivals since the end of August and comfortably rates the value scorer pick at 5-2 joint-eight favourite, the same price as Chelsea nowhere man Mohamed Salah, in the anytime market.