A draw and a defeat in their last three games has seen Tottenham displaced at the top of the form table, although Harry Redknapp’s side have still picked up as many points in their last six matches as Manchester City and Arsenal.
Spurs are therefore expected to come away with a win from a trip to Norwich on Tuesday and this is reflected by odds of 3/4 for a Tottenham victory in bwin’s 3Way football betting market.
However, with Norwich winning their last two matches at home – against QPR and Newcastle – the match could prove to be something of a banana skin for Spurs.
With this in mind, there could be value in betting on a Norwich win (333/100) or a draw (11/4).
Tottenham’s form might still look impressive on paper, and they certainly put in a good showing against Chelsea on Thursday evening, but they have had to work hard for their points in recent matches.
A 3-1 win over West Brom on 26th November was only secured through two late goals, while Spurs only managed four shots on target in a 1-0 win over an obdurate Sunderland side on 18th December.
Then there’s the 2-1 defeat to Stoke to factor in: the Potters were 2-0 up at the break and it took a tactical reshuffle from Redknapp for Spurs to experience any joy.
If Norwich have shown anything in the last couple of weeks it is that they are willing and able to take advantage when opposing teams are not at the top of their game.
Norwich’s failure to keep a clean sheet this season, coupled with the fact that Tottenham’s attack is rated as the fourth-best in the league, means Spurs are likely to score at the very least.
The 4-2 win over Newcastle was a prime example. With the Magpies short in defence, Norwich boss Paul Lambert deployed two big strikers in Grant Holt and Steve Morison and the duo bullied the opposition backline into submission.
Like Newcastle, Spurs will be weakened when they visit Carrow Road, with Aaron Lennon and possibly Rafael van der Vaart (despite his hamstring injury being far less serious than first feared) set to miss out.
Shorn of two key attacking players and looking less convincing than they were earlier on in the season, it could be that Spurs become Norwich’s latest victims.
With a Norwich win at 333/100, this certainly makes a home success something to consider, with a £25 free bet on the Canaries to beat Tottenham set to return £108.25.
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Of course, Norwich’s failure to keep a clean sheet this season, coupled with the fact that Tottenham’s attack is rated as the fourth-best in the league, means Spurs are likely to score at the very least.
And with Norwich scoring in every match since a 2-0 defeat to Manchester United on 1st October, both teams to score a goal looks a banker at 57/100.
The same goes for a bet on over 2.5 goals in the game at 31/50, with six of the eight league games at Carrow Road this season featuring at least three goals and the same going for seven out of Tottenham’s eight away fixtures.
It could also be worth betting on there being more goals in the second half than the first at 21/10 given both teams are significantly more vulnerable defensively after the break.
However, the more ambitious punter might be tempted on the Norwich win with over 2.5 goals at odds of 21/4.
This is because any victory for the Canaries is unlikely to be secured with a clean sheet, meaning there will have to be at least three goals in the match if the home side are to emerge with all three points.
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