Odds of 2/5 on a Tottenham victory might look short for a team on a run of three consecutive defeats but a quick glance at the away record of their opponents at White Hart Lane on Wednesday suggests three points are there for the taking for Harry Redknapp’s side.
Stoke have lost five of their last six away games in all competitions, with their only success in this run coming against League Two side Crawley in the FA Cup.
And it is not only away wins that have proved hard to come by for the Potters – even scoring has been problematic in recent times.
Only twice in the league have Stoke managed to score more than once on their travels and their total of nine goals from 14 games on the road is lower than all bar that of Fulham, who have managed just eight.
Eleven of Stoke’s 14 away games have featured under 3.5 goals, while the same can be said for the majority of Spurs home games this season.
Meanwhile, Tottenham’s form is perhaps not as bad as the headline figure suggest, with their three defeats perhaps explained by the fact they were playing Arsenal and Everton away and Manchester United at home.
With this in mind, those tempted by the prices of 17/5 for a draw and 27/4 for a Stoke victory would perhaps do well to reconsider.
This is not to suggest that Stoke will prove easy prey for Spurs, for while they have struggled for goals of late they have at least prevented the opposition from running riot.
Excluding the Crawley game, their last four matches on their travels have all been lost by a single-goal margin, with this sequence including trips to Anfield, Stamford Bridge and the Mestalla.
And with Spurs far from their fluent best – even if, as mentioned previously, things aren’t quite as bad as their recent results suggest – odds of 23/20 on a Tottenham win with under 3.5 goals stand out.
After all, 11 of Stoke’s 14 away games have featured under 3.5 goals, while the same can be said for the majority of Spurs home games this season.
Odds of 23/20 make a successful £25 free bet on a Tottenham win with under 3.5 goals worth £53.75, with the free bet available to new customers who sign up for a bwin account.
Finally, even if goals are restricted this should not stop Spurs being ahead at half time at full time.
Only the bottom five have conceded more goals in the first half of league games than Stoke, while Spurs are second only to Manchester United in terms of the number of goals scored before the interval.
And with a Spurs victory at the final whistle the most likely result, odds of evens on a Tottenham success at half time and the end of the match offer punters a good chance of doubling their money.
Recommended bet: Tottenham to beat Stoke with under 3.5 goals @ 23/20
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