Arsenal are 1/4 favourites to sink relegation-threatened Norwich, but reasons abound for punters to be dubious of their ability to do so with any authority.
The Canaries are 3/10 to have their Premier League hall passes revoked come the end of the campaign and as long as 23/2 to come out on top in north London.
Yet, that last, gargantuan assessment, along with the 5/1 about the match ending all square and the 3/1 about the vistors/draw double chance could end up looking mighty generous come full time and here’s six reasons why…
Alex Neil’s men have the edge when it comes to motivation
When it comes to stoking the fires within, the prospect of fighting for your Premier League life surely trumps the chance to tighten the grip on third?
Both Arsenal’s closest rivals for bronze might be expected to drop points too, with Manchester United hosting Leicester and Manchester City travelling to Southampton with one eye on their Champions League trip to Real Madrid.
Norwich held the Gunners at Carrow Road earlier this term
Visitors replete with Mesut Ozil, Alexis Sanchez, Santi Cazorla and an Olivier Giroud amid a run of 14 goals in 16 games for club and country were unable to best the Canaries in November.
Spring is shock season for the East Anglians and the top-flight’s upper crust
Norwich have a bit of a rep for stunning the big boys at this time of year, having done so once inside the last month in two of their last three campaigns in the big league.
Manchester City were downed 3-2 on their own patch in the summer of 2013, while the Gunners too were held to a 3-3 draw in May, 2012.
Arsenal have played three times since last Norwich were in action
Neil’s charges have had a fortnight to stew on their disastrous 3-0 home loss to relegation rivals Sunderland and should have the energy edge on their hosts.
The Canaries have let in a goal or less in each of their last four away games
East Anglia’s highest-ranked footballing representatives have been in stingy nick away from home since mid-February.
The Gunners have won once in their last four Premier League fixtures
Chances of Norwich chiseling some sustenance from their visit to the Emirates are further enhanced by their hosts’ distinctly average form.
West Ham, Crystal Palace and Sunderland each took a point off the north London side during that sequence.